The International Smaller Fund Market Value

BICKX Fund  USD 12.27  0.08  0.66%   
International Smaller's market value is the price at which a share of International Smaller trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of The International Smaller investors about its performance. International Smaller is trading at 12.27 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 0.66% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.19.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of The International Smaller and determine expected loss or profit from investing in International Smaller over a given investment horizon. Check out International Smaller Correlation, International Smaller Volatility and International Smaller Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on International Smaller.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between International Smaller's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Smaller is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International Smaller's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

International Smaller 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to International Smaller's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of International Smaller.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in International Smaller on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The International Smaller or generate 0.0% return on investment in International Smaller over 30 days. International Smaller is related to or competes with Short Oil, Oil Gas, Icon Natural, Energy Basic, Franklin Natural, Dreyfus Natural, and World Energy. The fund seeks to meet its objective by investing in an international portfolio of common stocks of smaller companies lo... More

International Smaller Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure International Smaller's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The International Smaller upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

International Smaller Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for International Smaller's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as International Smaller's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use International Smaller historical prices to predict the future International Smaller's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3412.2713.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5911.5212.45
Details

The International Smaller Backtested Returns

The International Smaller holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0861, which attests that the entity had a -0.0861% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. The International Smaller exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out International Smaller's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), standard deviation of 0.9772, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.7419 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0996, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning International Smaller are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, International Smaller is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.06  

Virtually no predictability

The International Smaller has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between International Smaller time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of The International Smaller price movement. The serial correlation of 0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current International Smaller price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.06
Spearman Rank Test0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

The International Smaller lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is International Smaller mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting International Smaller's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of International Smaller returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that International Smaller has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

International Smaller regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If International Smaller mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if International Smaller mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in International Smaller mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

International Smaller Lagged Returns

When evaluating International Smaller's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of International Smaller mutual fund have on its future price. International Smaller autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, International Smaller autocorrelation shows the relationship between International Smaller mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in The International Smaller.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in International Mutual Fund

International Smaller financial ratios help investors to determine whether International Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in International with respect to the benefits of owning International Smaller security.
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