Profunds Short Bitcoin Fund Market Value

BITIX Fund  USD 28.10  1.13  4.19%   
Profunds Short's market value is the price at which a share of Profunds Short trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Profunds Short Bitcoin investors about its performance. Profunds Short is trading at 28.10 as of the 22nd of December 2024; that is 4.19 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 26.97.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Profunds Short Bitcoin and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Profunds Short over a given investment horizon. Check out Profunds Short Correlation, Profunds Short Volatility and Profunds Short Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Profunds Short.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Profunds Short's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Profunds Short is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Profunds Short's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Profunds Short 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Profunds Short's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Profunds Short.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Profunds Short on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Profunds Short Bitcoin or generate 0.0% return on investment in Profunds Short over 30 days. Profunds Short is related to or competes with Short Real, Short Real, Ultrashort Mid, Ultrashort Mid, Technology Ultrasector, Technology Ultrasector, and Large Cap. The index is designed to measure the performance of a single bitcoin traded in USD and seeks to provide a proxy for the ... More

Profunds Short Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Profunds Short's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Profunds Short Bitcoin upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Profunds Short Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Profunds Short's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Profunds Short's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Profunds Short historical prices to predict the future Profunds Short's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.6628.1031.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.2127.6531.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.0727.5130.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.5827.7129.85
Details

Profunds Short Bitcoin Backtested Returns

Profunds Short Bitcoin maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.2, which implies the entity had a -0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Profunds Short Bitcoin exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Profunds Short's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.14), coefficient of variation of (527.53), and Variance of 11.69 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of -1.85, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Profunds Short are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Profunds Short is expected to outperform it.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.38  

Poor reverse predictability

Profunds Short Bitcoin has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Profunds Short time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Profunds Short Bitcoin price movement. The serial correlation of -0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Profunds Short price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.38
Spearman Rank Test0.59
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.98

Profunds Short Bitcoin lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Profunds Short mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Profunds Short's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Profunds Short returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Profunds Short has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Profunds Short regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Profunds Short mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Profunds Short mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Profunds Short mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Profunds Short Lagged Returns

When evaluating Profunds Short's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Profunds Short mutual fund have on its future price. Profunds Short autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Profunds Short autocorrelation shows the relationship between Profunds Short mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Profunds Short Bitcoin.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Profunds Mutual Fund

Profunds Short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Profunds Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Profunds with respect to the benefits of owning Profunds Short security.
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