Banco Macro (Argentina) Market Value
| BMA Stock | ARS 9,000 50.00 0.56% |
| Symbol | Banco |
Banco Macro 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Banco Macro's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Banco Macro.
| 10/26/2024 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Banco Macro on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Banco Macro SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Banco Macro over 30 days. Banco Macro is related to or competes with United States, Transportadora, and Harmony Gold. Banco Macro S.A. provides various banking products and services to individuals and corporate customers in Argentina More
Banco Macro Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Banco Macro's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Banco Macro SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0814 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.07 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.29) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.7 |
Banco Macro Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Banco Macro's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Banco Macro's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Banco Macro historical prices to predict the future Banco Macro's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1039 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.482 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.10) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0884 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.36) |
Banco Macro SA Backtested Returns
Banco Macro appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Banco Macro SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the company had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Banco Macro SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Banco Macro's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1039, downside deviation of 2.71, and Mean Deviation of 2.28 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Banco Macro holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.01, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning Banco Macro are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Banco Macro is expected to outperform it slightly. Please check Banco Macro's total risk alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Banco Macro's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.15 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Banco Macro SA has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Banco Macro time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Banco Macro SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current Banco Macro price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.15 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.71 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 11.4 K |
Banco Macro SA lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Banco Macro stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Banco Macro's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Banco Macro returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Banco Macro has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Banco Macro regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Banco Macro stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Banco Macro stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Banco Macro stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Banco Macro Lagged Returns
When evaluating Banco Macro's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Banco Macro stock have on its future price. Banco Macro autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Banco Macro autocorrelation shows the relationship between Banco Macro stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Banco Macro SA.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Banco Stock
When determining whether Banco Macro SA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Banco Macro's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Banco Macro Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Banco Macro Sa Stock:Check out Banco Macro Correlation, Banco Macro Volatility and Banco Macro Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Banco Macro. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Banco Macro technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.