Barnes Noble Education Stock Market Value

BNED Stock  USD 10.34  0.43  4.34%   
Barnes Noble's market value is the price at which a share of Barnes Noble trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Barnes Noble Education investors about its performance. Barnes Noble is trading at 10.34 as of the 25th of November 2024, a 4.34 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 10.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Barnes Noble Education and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Barnes Noble over a given investment horizon. Check out Barnes Noble Correlation, Barnes Noble Volatility and Barnes Noble Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Barnes Noble.
Symbol

Barnes Noble Education Company Valuation

Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Barnes Noble. If investors know Barnes will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Barnes Noble listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.084
Earnings Share
(11.96)
Revenue Per Share
291.275
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
Return On Assets
0.0061
The market value of Barnes Noble Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Barnes that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Barnes Noble's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Barnes Noble's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Barnes Noble's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Barnes Noble's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Barnes Noble's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Barnes Noble is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Barnes Noble's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Barnes Noble 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Barnes Noble's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Barnes Noble.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Barnes Noble on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Barnes Noble Education or generate 0.0% return on investment in Barnes Noble over 30 days. Barnes Noble is related to or competes with Sportsmans, MarineMax, Build A, Leslies, Sally Beauty, Container Store, and National Vision. Barnes Noble Education, Inc. operates bookstores for college and university campuses, and K-12 institutions in the Unite... More

Barnes Noble Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Barnes Noble's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Barnes Noble Education upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Barnes Noble Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Barnes Noble's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Barnes Noble's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Barnes Noble historical prices to predict the future Barnes Noble's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Barnes Noble's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.9210.2215.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.756.0511.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.0510.3415.64
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.193.503.89
Details

Barnes Noble Education Backtested Returns

Barnes Noble Education secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0477, which signifies that the company had a -0.0477% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Barnes Noble Education exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Barnes Noble's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), mean deviation of 3.22, and Standard Deviation of 5.36 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.79, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Barnes Noble will likely underperform. At this point, Barnes Noble Education has a negative expected return of -0.25%. Please make sure to confirm Barnes Noble's value at risk, rate of daily change, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if Barnes Noble Education performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.39  

Below average predictability

Barnes Noble Education has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Barnes Noble time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Barnes Noble Education price movement. The serial correlation of 0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current Barnes Noble price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.39
Spearman Rank Test0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.15

Barnes Noble Education lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Barnes Noble stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Barnes Noble's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Barnes Noble returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Barnes Noble has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Barnes Noble regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Barnes Noble stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Barnes Noble stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Barnes Noble stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Barnes Noble Lagged Returns

When evaluating Barnes Noble's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Barnes Noble stock have on its future price. Barnes Noble autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Barnes Noble autocorrelation shows the relationship between Barnes Noble stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Barnes Noble Education.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Barnes Noble Education is a strong investment it is important to analyze Barnes Noble's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Barnes Noble's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Barnes Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Barnes Noble Correlation, Barnes Noble Volatility and Barnes Noble Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Barnes Noble.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Barnes Noble technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Barnes Noble technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Barnes Noble trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...