Global X (Germany) Market Value

BT0Y Etf   96.65  3.39  3.39%   
Global X's market value is the price at which a share of Global X trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Global X Bitcoin investors about its performance. Global X is trading at 96.65 as of the 31st of January 2025, a 3.39% down since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 96.65.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Global X Bitcoin and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Global X over a given investment horizon. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.
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Global X 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Global X's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Global X.
0.00
02/11/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
01/31/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Global X on February 11, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Global X Bitcoin or generate 0.0% return on investment in Global X over 720 days.

Global X Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Global X's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Global X Bitcoin upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Global X Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Global X's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Global X's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Global X historical prices to predict the future Global X's volatility.

Global X Bitcoin Backtested Returns

Global X appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Global X Bitcoin holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.25, which attests that the entity had a 0.25 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By evaluating Global X's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.83% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Global X's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 3.89, downside deviation of 2.44, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2136 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.21, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Global X's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Global X is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.91  

Excellent predictability

Global X Bitcoin has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Global X time series from 11th of February 2023 to 6th of February 2024 and 6th of February 2024 to 31st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Global X Bitcoin price movement. The serial correlation of 0.91 indicates that approximately 91.0% of current Global X price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.91
Spearman Rank Test0.59
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance239.57

Global X Bitcoin lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Global X etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Global X's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Global X returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Global X has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Global X regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Global X etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Global X etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Global X etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Global X Lagged Returns

When evaluating Global X's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Global X etf have on its future price. Global X autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Global X autocorrelation shows the relationship between Global X etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Global X Bitcoin.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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