Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin Fund Market Value

BTIDX Fund  USD 11.52  0.08  0.70%   
Idx Risk-managed's market value is the price at which a share of Idx Risk-managed trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin investors about its performance. Idx Risk-managed is trading at 11.52 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 0.70 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.44.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Idx Risk-managed over a given investment horizon. Check out Idx Risk-managed Correlation, Idx Risk-managed Volatility and Idx Risk-managed Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Idx Risk-managed.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Idx Risk-managed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Idx Risk-managed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Idx Risk-managed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Idx Risk-managed 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Idx Risk-managed's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Idx Risk-managed.
0.00
02/04/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 9 months and 23 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Idx Risk-managed on February 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin or generate 0.0% return on investment in Idx Risk-managed over 660 days. Idx Risk-managed is related to or competes with Origin Emerging, Artisan Emerging, Ashmore Emerging, Black Oak, Ep Emerging, and Rbc Emerging. The fund adviser pursues its investment strategy through actively managed investments with direct or indirect exposure t... More

Idx Risk-managed Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Idx Risk-managed's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Idx Risk-managed Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Idx Risk-managed's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Idx Risk-managed's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Idx Risk-managed historical prices to predict the future Idx Risk-managed's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Idx Risk-managed's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.2311.5213.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.6911.9814.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.5911.8814.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.4010.6811.97
Details

Idx Risk Managed Backtested Returns

Idx Risk-managed appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Idx Risk Managed holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.25, which attests that the entity had a 0.25% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By evaluating Idx Risk-managed's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.58% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Idx Risk-managed's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3933, downside deviation of 1.33, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2037 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.5, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Idx Risk-managed will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.16  

Very weak predictability

Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Idx Risk-managed time series from 4th of February 2023 to 31st of December 2023 and 31st of December 2023 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Idx Risk Managed price movement. The serial correlation of 0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current Idx Risk-managed price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.16
Spearman Rank Test-0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.04

Idx Risk Managed lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Idx Risk-managed mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Idx Risk-managed's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Idx Risk-managed returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Idx Risk-managed has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Idx Risk-managed regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Idx Risk-managed mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Idx Risk-managed mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Idx Risk-managed mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Idx Risk-managed Lagged Returns

When evaluating Idx Risk-managed's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Idx Risk-managed mutual fund have on its future price. Idx Risk-managed autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Idx Risk-managed autocorrelation shows the relationship between Idx Risk-managed mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Idx Mutual Fund

Idx Risk-managed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Idx Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Idx with respect to the benefits of owning Idx Risk-managed security.
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