Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

BTIDX Fund  USD 7.38  0.00  0.00%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0574, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Idx Risk-managed are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Idx Risk-managed is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Idx Risk-managed is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Idx Risk-managed Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  738.00  in Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin on December 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (9.00) from holding Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin or give up 1.22% of portfolio value over 90 days. Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.218% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Idx, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Idx Risk-managed is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 3.45 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Idx Risk-managed Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
7.29
Please note that Idx Risk-managed's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Idx Risk Managed retains a regular Real Value of $7.31 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $7.29. We determine the value of Idx Risk Managed from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Idx Risk-managed is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Idx Mutual Fund. However, Idx Risk-managed's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  7.29 Real  7.31 Hype  7.29 Naive  7.3
The intrinsic value of Idx Risk-managed's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Idx Risk-managed's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
7.31
Real Value
7.53
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin helps investors to forecast how Idx mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Idx Risk-managed more accurately as focusing exclusively on Idx Risk-managed's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.297.297.29
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.077.297.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.087.307.52
Details

Idx Risk-managed Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Idx Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.29 90 days 7.29 
about 83.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Idx Risk-managed to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 83.05 (This Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin probability density function shows the probability of Idx Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin has a beta of -0.0574 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Idx Risk-managed are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Idx Risk-managed Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Idx Risk-managed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Idx Risk Managed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Idx Risk-managed's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.077.297.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.097.317.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.087.307.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.297.297.29
Details

Idx Risk-managed Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Idx Risk-managed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Idx Risk-managed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Idx Risk Managed Bitcoin, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Idx Risk-managed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.51

Idx Risk-managed Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Idx Risk-managed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Idx Risk Managed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Idx Risk Managed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Idx Risk-managed Fundamentals Growth

Idx Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Idx Risk-managed, and Idx Risk-managed fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Idx Mutual Fund performance.

About Idx Risk-managed Performance

Evaluating Idx Risk-managed's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Idx Risk-managed has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Idx Risk-managed has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund adviser pursues its investment strategy through actively managed exposure to bitcoin futures contracts. Idx Risk-Managed is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Idx Risk Managed performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Idx Risk-managed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Idx Risk Managed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Idx Risk Managed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments
Evaluating Idx Risk-managed's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Idx Risk-managed's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Idx Risk-managed's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Idx Risk-managed's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Idx Risk-managed's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Idx Risk-managed's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Idx Risk-managed's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Idx Risk-managed's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Idx Risk-managed's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Idx Risk-managed's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Idx Risk-managed's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Idx Mutual Fund

Idx Risk-managed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Idx Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Idx with respect to the benefits of owning Idx Risk-managed security.
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