Burnham Holdings Stock Market Value

BURCA Stock  USD 14.39  0.64  4.65%   
Burnham Holdings' market value is the price at which a share of Burnham Holdings trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Burnham Holdings investors about its performance. Burnham Holdings is trading at 14.39 as of the 24th of November 2024, a 4.65 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 13.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Burnham Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Burnham Holdings over a given investment horizon. Check out Burnham Holdings Correlation, Burnham Holdings Volatility and Burnham Holdings Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Burnham Holdings.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Burnham Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Burnham Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Burnham Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Burnham Holdings 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Burnham Holdings' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Burnham Holdings.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Burnham Holdings on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Burnham Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Burnham Holdings over 30 days. Burnham Holdings is related to or competes with Travis Perkins, Armstrong World, and Apogee Enterprises. Burnham Holdings, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells boilers and related heating, ventilation, and air conditioning p... More

Burnham Holdings Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Burnham Holdings' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Burnham Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Burnham Holdings Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Burnham Holdings' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Burnham Holdings' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Burnham Holdings historical prices to predict the future Burnham Holdings' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Burnham Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2814.3916.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9014.0116.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.5413.6515.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.6414.1914.75
Details

Burnham Holdings Backtested Returns

Burnham Holdings appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Burnham Holdings secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.1, which signifies that the company had a 0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Burnham Holdings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Burnham Holdings' Downside Deviation of 2.0, risk adjusted performance of 0.0817, and Mean Deviation of 1.39 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Burnham Holdings holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.54, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Burnham Holdings' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Burnham Holdings is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Burnham Holdings' value at risk, expected short fall, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and downside variance , to make a quick decision on whether Burnham Holdings' price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.22  

Weak predictability

Burnham Holdings has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Burnham Holdings time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Burnham Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Burnham Holdings price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.22
Spearman Rank Test-0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.16

Burnham Holdings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Burnham Holdings pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Burnham Holdings' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Burnham Holdings returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Burnham Holdings has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Burnham Holdings regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Burnham Holdings pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Burnham Holdings pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Burnham Holdings pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Burnham Holdings Lagged Returns

When evaluating Burnham Holdings' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Burnham Holdings pink sheet have on its future price. Burnham Holdings autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Burnham Holdings autocorrelation shows the relationship between Burnham Holdings pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Burnham Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Burnham Pink Sheet

Burnham Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Burnham Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Burnham with respect to the benefits of owning Burnham Holdings security.