Bavarian Nordic's market value is the price at which a share of Bavarian Nordic trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bavarian Nordic AS investors about its performance. Bavarian Nordic is trading at 30.65 as of the 27th of December 2025. This is a No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 30.65. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bavarian Nordic AS and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bavarian Nordic over a given investment horizon. Check out Bavarian Nordic Correlation, Bavarian Nordic Volatility and Bavarian Nordic Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bavarian Nordic.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bavarian Nordic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bavarian Nordic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bavarian Nordic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Bavarian Nordic 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bavarian Nordic's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bavarian Nordic.
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11/27/2025
No Change 0.00
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In 30 days
12/27/2025
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If you would invest 0.00 in Bavarian Nordic on November 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bavarian Nordic AS or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bavarian Nordic over 30 days. Bavarian Nordic is related to or competes with Galapagos, Hypera SA, Virbac SA, Shandong Weigao, BioArctic, Haw ParLtd, and Santen Pharmaceutical. Bavarian Nordic AS develops, manufactures, and commercializes life-saving vaccines More
Bavarian Nordic Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bavarian Nordic's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bavarian Nordic AS upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bavarian Nordic's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bavarian Nordic's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bavarian Nordic historical prices to predict the future Bavarian Nordic's volatility.
Bavarian Nordic AS secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0844, which signifies that the company had a -0.0844 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Bavarian Nordic AS exposes eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Bavarian Nordic's Mean Deviation of 0.7697, risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Standard Deviation of 2.63 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.82, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Bavarian Nordic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Bavarian Nordic is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Bavarian Nordic AS has a negative expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to confirm Bavarian Nordic's maximum drawdown and kurtosis , to decide if Bavarian Nordic AS performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation
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No correlation between past and present
Bavarian Nordic AS has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bavarian Nordic time series from 27th of November 2025 to 12th of December 2025 and 12th of December 2025 to 27th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bavarian Nordic AS price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Bavarian Nordic price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
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Spearman Rank Test
0.82
Residual Average
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Price Variance
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Bavarian Nordic AS lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Bavarian Nordic pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bavarian Nordic's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bavarian Nordic returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bavarian Nordic has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
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Bavarian Nordic regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bavarian Nordic pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bavarian Nordic pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bavarian Nordic pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
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Bavarian Nordic Lagged Returns
When evaluating Bavarian Nordic's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bavarian Nordic pink sheet have on its future price. Bavarian Nordic autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bavarian Nordic autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bavarian Nordic pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bavarian Nordic AS.
Other Information on Investing in Bavarian Pink Sheet
Bavarian Nordic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bavarian Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bavarian with respect to the benefits of owning Bavarian Nordic security.