Cascades Stock Market Value

CADNF Stock  USD 8.43  0.10  1.20%   
Cascades' market value is the price at which a share of Cascades trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Cascades investors about its performance. Cascades is trading at 8.43 as of the 29th of November 2024. This is a 1.20 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 8.43.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Cascades and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Cascades over a given investment horizon. Check out Cascades Correlation, Cascades Volatility and Cascades Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Cascades.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Cascades' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cascades is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cascades' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Cascades 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cascades' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cascades.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Cascades on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cascades or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cascades over 30 days. Cascades is related to or competes with TriMas, Myers Industries, Reynolds Consumer, and Pactiv Evergreen. Cascades Inc. produces, converts, and markets packaging and tissue products in Canada and the United States More

Cascades Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cascades' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cascades upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Cascades Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cascades' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cascades' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cascades historical prices to predict the future Cascades' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.708.4310.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.679.4011.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.688.4110.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.327.828.32
Details

Cascades Backtested Returns

Cascades appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Cascades secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.2, which signifies that the company had a 0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Cascades, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Cascades' Mean Deviation of 1.15, downside deviation of 1.83, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1626 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Cascades holds a performance score of 15. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.57, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Cascades' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cascades is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Cascades' expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Cascades' price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.75  

Good predictability

Cascades has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cascades time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cascades price movement. The serial correlation of 0.75 indicates that around 75.0% of current Cascades price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.75
Spearman Rank Test0.8
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Cascades lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Cascades pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Cascades' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Cascades returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Cascades has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Cascades regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Cascades pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Cascades pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Cascades pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Cascades Lagged Returns

When evaluating Cascades' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Cascades pink sheet have on its future price. Cascades autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Cascades autocorrelation shows the relationship between Cascades pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Cascades.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Cascades Pink Sheet

Cascades financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cascades Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cascades with respect to the benefits of owning Cascades security.