Calvert Emerging Markets Fund Market Value
| CEMCX Fund | USD 11.98 0.15 1.27% |
| Symbol | Calvert |
Calvert Emerging 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Calvert Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Calvert Emerging.
| 12/06/2022 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Calvert Emerging on December 6, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Calvert Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Calvert Emerging over 720 days. Calvert Emerging is related to or competes with Calvert Developed, Calvert Developed, Calvert Short, Calvert International, Calvert Short, Calvert Short, and Calvert Emerging. Under normal market conditions, at least 80 percent of the funds assets will be invested in equity securities of compani... More
Calvert Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Calvert Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Calvert Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.21) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.21 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.30) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.24 |
Calvert Emerging Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Calvert Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Calvert Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Calvert Emerging historical prices to predict the future Calvert Emerging's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.09) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Calvert Emerging's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Calvert Emerging Markets Backtested Returns
Calvert Emerging Markets secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0765, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0765% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Calvert Emerging Markets exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Calvert Emerging's Mean Deviation of 0.6246, standard deviation of 0.8109, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.58, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Calvert Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Calvert Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.55 |
Modest predictability
Calvert Emerging Markets has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Calvert Emerging time series from 6th of December 2022 to 1st of December 2023 and 1st of December 2023 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Calvert Emerging Markets price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Calvert Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.55 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.35 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.04 |
Calvert Emerging Markets lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Calvert Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Calvert Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Calvert Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Calvert Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Calvert Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Calvert Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Calvert Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Calvert Emerging mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Calvert Emerging Lagged Returns
When evaluating Calvert Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Calvert Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Calvert Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Calvert Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Calvert Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Calvert Emerging Markets.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Calvert Mutual Fund
Calvert Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Calvert Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Calvert with respect to the benefits of owning Calvert Emerging security.
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