Cullen Emerging Markets Fund Market Value

CEMFX Fund  USD 12.70  0.08  0.63%   
Cullen Emerging's market value is the price at which a share of Cullen Emerging trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Cullen Emerging Markets investors about its performance. Cullen Emerging is trading at 12.70 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.63 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.62.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Cullen Emerging Markets and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Cullen Emerging over a given investment horizon. Check out Cullen Emerging Correlation, Cullen Emerging Volatility and Cullen Emerging Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Cullen Emerging.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Cullen Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cullen Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cullen Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Cullen Emerging 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cullen Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cullen Emerging.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Cullen Emerging on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cullen Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cullen Emerging over 30 days. Cullen Emerging is related to or competes with Hartford Moderate, Fidelity Managed, Pro-blend(r) Moderate, Blackrock Moderate, American Funds, Dimensional Retirement, and Jp Morgan. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus borrowings for investment purposes, in high-dividend paying... More

Cullen Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cullen Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cullen Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Cullen Emerging Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cullen Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cullen Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cullen Emerging historical prices to predict the future Cullen Emerging's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.9512.7013.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9612.7113.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.6812.4313.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.6012.6712.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cullen Emerging. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cullen Emerging's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cullen Emerging's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cullen Emerging Markets.

Cullen Emerging Markets Backtested Returns

Cullen Emerging Markets secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0027, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0027% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Cullen Emerging Markets exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Cullen Emerging's Downside Deviation of 0.8143, mean deviation of 0.5888, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0087 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.24, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Cullen Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cullen Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.37  

Below average predictability

Cullen Emerging Markets has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cullen Emerging time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cullen Emerging Markets price movement. The serial correlation of 0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current Cullen Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.37
Spearman Rank Test-0.58
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Cullen Emerging Markets lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Cullen Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Cullen Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Cullen Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Cullen Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Cullen Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Cullen Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Cullen Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Cullen Emerging mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Cullen Emerging Lagged Returns

When evaluating Cullen Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Cullen Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Cullen Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Cullen Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Cullen Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Cullen Emerging Markets.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Cullen Mutual Fund

Cullen Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cullen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cullen with respect to the benefits of owning Cullen Emerging security.
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