Charan Insurance (Thailand) Market Value

CHARAN Stock  THB 21.40  0.60  2.73%   
Charan Insurance's market value is the price at which a share of Charan Insurance trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Charan Insurance Public investors about its performance. Charan Insurance is trading at 21.40 as of the 11th of December 2024, a 2.73 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 22.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Charan Insurance Public and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Charan Insurance over a given investment horizon. Check out Charan Insurance Correlation, Charan Insurance Volatility and Charan Insurance Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Charan Insurance.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Charan Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Charan Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Charan Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Charan Insurance 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Charan Insurance's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Charan Insurance.
0.00
09/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Charan Insurance on September 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Charan Insurance Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in Charan Insurance over 90 days. Charan Insurance is related to or competes with AIM Industrial, Thai Coating, Firetrade Engineering, K W, Wyncoast Industrial, CPR Gomu, and Premier Marketing. Charan Insurance Public Company Limited provides non-life insurance products in Thailand More

Charan Insurance Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Charan Insurance's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Charan Insurance Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Charan Insurance Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Charan Insurance's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Charan Insurance's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Charan Insurance historical prices to predict the future Charan Insurance's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.7722.0023.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.3018.5324.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.7221.9523.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.0022.0022.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Charan Insurance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Charan Insurance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Charan Insurance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Charan Insurance Public.

Charan Insurance Public Backtested Returns

Charan Insurance Public secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0465, which signifies that the company had a -0.0465% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Charan Insurance Public exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Charan Insurance's mean deviation of 0.7113, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0867, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Charan Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Charan Insurance is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Charan Insurance Public has a negative expected return of -0.0587%. Please make sure to confirm Charan Insurance's coefficient of variation, value at risk, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to decide if Charan Insurance Public performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.00  

No correlation between past and present

Charan Insurance Public has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Charan Insurance time series from 12th of September 2024 to 27th of October 2024 and 27th of October 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Charan Insurance Public price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Charan Insurance price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.12

Charan Insurance Public lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Charan Insurance stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Charan Insurance's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Charan Insurance returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Charan Insurance has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Charan Insurance regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Charan Insurance stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Charan Insurance stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Charan Insurance stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Charan Insurance Lagged Returns

When evaluating Charan Insurance's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Charan Insurance stock have on its future price. Charan Insurance autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Charan Insurance autocorrelation shows the relationship between Charan Insurance stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Charan Insurance Public.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Charan Stock

Charan Insurance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Charan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Charan with respect to the benefits of owning Charan Insurance security.