Chestnut Street Exchange Fund Market Value

CHNTX Fund  USD 1,181  2.07  0.17%   
Chestnut Street's market value is the price at which a share of Chestnut Street trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Chestnut Street Exchange investors about its performance. Chestnut Street is trading at 1181.22 as of the 16th of February 2025; that is 0.17 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 1183.29.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Chestnut Street Exchange and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Chestnut Street over a given investment horizon. Check out Chestnut Street Correlation, Chestnut Street Volatility and Chestnut Street Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Chestnut Street.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Chestnut Street's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chestnut Street is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chestnut Street's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Chestnut Street 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chestnut Street's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chestnut Street.
0.00
01/17/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Chestnut Street on January 17, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chestnut Street Exchange or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chestnut Street over 30 days. Chestnut Street is related to or competes with Blackrock Global, Barings Active, Delaware Investments, Cmg Ultra, Angel Oak, Pioneer Short, and Touchstone Ultra. Chestnut Street is entity of United States More

Chestnut Street Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chestnut Street's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chestnut Street Exchange upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Chestnut Street Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chestnut Street's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chestnut Street's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chestnut Street historical prices to predict the future Chestnut Street's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chestnut Street's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,1811,1811,182
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,1391,1401,299
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1621,1631,163
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,1611,1741,188
Details

Chestnut Street Exchange Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Chestnut Mutual Fund to be very steady. Chestnut Street Exchange secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0463, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0463 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Chestnut Street Exchange, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Chestnut Street's risk adjusted performance of 0.0283, and Mean Deviation of 0.4806 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0317%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.52, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Chestnut Street's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Chestnut Street is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.22  

Weak predictability

Chestnut Street Exchange has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chestnut Street time series from 17th of January 2025 to 1st of February 2025 and 1st of February 2025 to 16th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chestnut Street Exchange price movement. The serial correlation of 0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Chestnut Street price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.22
Spearman Rank Test0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance40.13

Chestnut Street Exchange lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Chestnut Street mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chestnut Street's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chestnut Street returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chestnut Street has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Chestnut Street regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chestnut Street mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chestnut Street mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chestnut Street mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Chestnut Street Lagged Returns

When evaluating Chestnut Street's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chestnut Street mutual fund have on its future price. Chestnut Street autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chestnut Street autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chestnut Street mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chestnut Street Exchange.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Chestnut Mutual Fund

Chestnut Street financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chestnut Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chestnut with respect to the benefits of owning Chestnut Street security.
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