Canadian Imperial Bank Stock Market Value
| CM Stock | CAD 91.48 0.37 0.41% |
| Symbol | Canadian |
Canadian Imperial Bank Price To Book Ratio
Canadian Imperial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Canadian Imperial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Canadian Imperial.
| 12/05/2022 |
| 11/24/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Canadian Imperial on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Canadian Imperial Bank or generate 0.0% return on investment in Canadian Imperial over 720 days. Canadian Imperial is related to or competes with Bank of Montreal, Bank of Nova Scotia, Royal Bank, Toronto Dominion, and National Bank. Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, a diversified financial institution, provides various financial products and service... More
Canadian Imperial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Canadian Imperial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Canadian Imperial Bank upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.7037 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2445 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.17 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.95) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.55 |
Canadian Imperial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Canadian Imperial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Canadian Imperial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Canadian Imperial historical prices to predict the future Canadian Imperial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2922 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.364 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2058 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3396 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (10.25) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Canadian Imperial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Canadian Imperial Bank Backtested Returns
Canadian Imperial appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Canadian Imperial Bank secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.36, which signifies that the company had a 0.36% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Canadian Imperial Bank, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Canadian Imperial's Coefficient Of Variation of 264.39, mean deviation of 0.6443, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2922 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Canadian Imperial holds a performance score of 28. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0351, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Canadian Imperial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Canadian Imperial is likely to outperform the market. Please check Canadian Imperial's expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Canadian Imperial's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.62 |
Very good reverse predictability
Canadian Imperial Bank has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Canadian Imperial time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Canadian Imperial Bank price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Canadian Imperial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.62 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.48 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 100.08 |
Canadian Imperial Bank lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Canadian Imperial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Canadian Imperial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Canadian Imperial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Canadian Imperial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Canadian Imperial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Canadian Imperial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Canadian Imperial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Canadian Imperial stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Canadian Imperial Lagged Returns
When evaluating Canadian Imperial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Canadian Imperial stock have on its future price. Canadian Imperial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Canadian Imperial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Canadian Imperial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Canadian Imperial Bank.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Canadian Imperial
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Canadian Imperial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Canadian Imperial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Canadian Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Canadian Imperial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Canadian Imperial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Canadian Imperial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Canadian Imperial Bank to buy it.
The correlation of Canadian Imperial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Canadian Imperial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Canadian Imperial Bank moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Canadian Imperial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Canadian Imperial Correlation, Canadian Imperial Volatility and Canadian Imperial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Canadian Imperial. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Canadian Imperial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.