Comerica Stock Market Value

CMA Stock  USD 68.90  1.02  1.50%   
Comerica's market value is the price at which a share of Comerica trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Comerica investors about its performance. Comerica is trading at 68.90 as of the 21st of November 2024, a 1.50 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 67.88.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Comerica and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Comerica over a given investment horizon. Check out Comerica Correlation, Comerica Volatility and Comerica Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Comerica.
For information on how to trade Comerica Stock refer to our How to Trade Comerica Stock guide.
Symbol

Comerica Price To Book Ratio

Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Comerica. If investors know Comerica will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Comerica listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.28)
Dividend Share
2.84
Earnings Share
4
Revenue Per Share
23.812
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.1)
The market value of Comerica is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Comerica that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Comerica's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Comerica's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Comerica's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Comerica's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Comerica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Comerica is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Comerica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Comerica 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Comerica's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Comerica.
0.00
10/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/21/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Comerica on October 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Comerica or generate 0.0% return on investment in Comerica over 30 days. Comerica is related to or competes with Western Alliance, KeyCorp, Truist Financial, Zions Bancorporation, Huntington Bancshares, US Bancorp, and First Horizon. Comerica Incorporated, through its subsidiaries, provides various financial products and services More

Comerica Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Comerica's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Comerica upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Comerica Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Comerica's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Comerica's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Comerica historical prices to predict the future Comerica's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.3768.5170.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.7762.9174.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
63.7965.9268.06
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
45.5550.0555.56
Details

Comerica Backtested Returns

Comerica appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Comerica secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which signifies that the company had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Comerica, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Comerica's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1257, downside deviation of 1.71, and Mean Deviation of 1.47 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Comerica holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.0, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Comerica will likely underperform. Please check Comerica's standard deviation, treynor ratio, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether Comerica's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.11  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Comerica has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Comerica time series from 22nd of October 2024 to 6th of November 2024 and 6th of November 2024 to 21st of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Comerica price movement. The serial correlation of -0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Comerica price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.11
Spearman Rank Test-0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.0

Comerica lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Comerica stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Comerica's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Comerica returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Comerica has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Comerica regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Comerica stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Comerica stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Comerica stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Comerica Lagged Returns

When evaluating Comerica's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Comerica stock have on its future price. Comerica autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Comerica autocorrelation shows the relationship between Comerica stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Comerica.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Comerica offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Comerica's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Comerica Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Comerica Stock:
Check out Comerica Correlation, Comerica Volatility and Comerica Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Comerica.
For information on how to trade Comerica Stock refer to our How to Trade Comerica Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Comerica technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Comerica technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Comerica trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...