Caledonia Mining Stock Market Value
| CMCL Stock | USD 28.31 0.20 0.71% |
| Symbol | Caledonia |
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Caledonia Mining. Projected growth potential of Caledonia fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Caledonia Mining assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.417 | Dividend Share 0.56 | Earnings Share 2.56 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.529 |
Understanding Caledonia Mining requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Caledonia's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Caledonia Mining's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Caledonia Mining's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Caledonia Mining's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Caledonia Mining should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Caledonia Mining's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Caledonia Mining 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Caledonia Mining's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Caledonia Mining.
| 11/20/2025 |
| 02/18/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Caledonia Mining on November 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Caledonia Mining or generate 0.0% return on investment in Caledonia Mining over 90 days. Caledonia Mining is related to or competes with Galiano Gold, Idaho Strategic, Westlake Chemical, I 80, New Found, Green Plains, and Dakota Gold. Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc primarily engages in the operation of a gold mine More
Caledonia Mining Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Caledonia Mining's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Caledonia Mining upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 6.29 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0109 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.1 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.85) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.27 |
Caledonia Mining Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Caledonia Mining's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Caledonia Mining's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Caledonia Mining historical prices to predict the future Caledonia Mining's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0242 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0167 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0091 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0446 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Caledonia Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Caledonia Mining February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0242 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0546 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.69 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.85 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 6.29 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 5030.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.22 | |||
| Variance | 27.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0109 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0167 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0091 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0446 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.1 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.85) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 39.57 | |||
| Semi Variance | 34.18 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.31) | |||
| Skewness | (0.72) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.8 |
Caledonia Mining Backtested Returns
Caledonia Mining appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Caledonia Mining secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0423, which signifies that the company had a 0.0423 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Caledonia Mining, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Caledonia Mining's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0242, downside deviation of 6.29, and Mean Deviation of 3.69 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Caledonia Mining holds a performance score of 3. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.1, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Caledonia Mining will likely underperform. Please check Caledonia Mining's total risk alpha, expected short fall, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Caledonia Mining's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.01 |
Virtually no predictability
Caledonia Mining has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Caledonia Mining time series from 20th of November 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 18th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Caledonia Mining price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Caledonia Mining price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.01 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.23 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 3.17 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Caledonia Mining Correlation, Caledonia Mining Volatility and Caledonia Mining Performance module to complement your research on Caledonia Mining. For more information on how to buy Caledonia Stock please use our How to buy in Caledonia Stock guide.You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Caledonia Mining technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.