Caledonia Mining Stock Technical Analysis
| CMCL Stock | USD 27.60 0.93 3.26% |
As of the 5th of February, Caledonia Mining shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0243, mean deviation of 3.32, and Downside Deviation of 5.75. Caledonia Mining technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Caledonia Mining information ratio, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and expected short fall to decide if Caledonia Mining is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 27.6 per share. Given that Caledonia Mining has jensen alpha of 0.0122, we suggest you to validate Caledonia Mining's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Caledonia Mining Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Caledonia, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CaledoniaCaledonia | Build AI portfolio with Caledonia Stock |
Caledonia Mining Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 46.25 | Buy | 2 | Odds |
Most Caledonia analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Caledonia stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Caledonia Mining, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Caledonia conference calls.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Caledonia Mining. Projected growth potential of Caledonia fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Caledonia Mining assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.417 | Dividend Share 0.56 | Earnings Share 2.56 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.529 |
Understanding Caledonia Mining requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Caledonia's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Caledonia Mining's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Caledonia Mining's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Caledonia Mining's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Caledonia Mining should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Caledonia Mining's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Caledonia Mining 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Caledonia Mining's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Caledonia Mining.
| 11/07/2025 |
| 02/05/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Caledonia Mining on November 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Caledonia Mining or generate 0.0% return on investment in Caledonia Mining over 90 days. Caledonia Mining is related to or competes with Galiano Gold, Idaho Strategic, Westlake Chemical, I 80, New Found, Green Plains, and Dakota Gold. Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc primarily engages in the operation of a gold mine More
Caledonia Mining Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Caledonia Mining's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Caledonia Mining upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 5.75 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0081 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.1 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.12) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.89 |
Caledonia Mining Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Caledonia Mining's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Caledonia Mining's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Caledonia Mining historical prices to predict the future Caledonia Mining's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0243 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0122 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.27) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0069 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0627 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Caledonia Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Caledonia Mining February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0243 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0727 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.32 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.35 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.75 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 4660.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.84 | |||
| Variance | 23.47 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0081 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0122 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.27) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0069 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0627 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.1 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.12) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 33.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 28.67 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.06) | |||
| Skewness | (0.85) | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.0 |
Caledonia Mining Backtested Returns
As of now, Caledonia Stock is not too volatile. Caledonia Mining secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0302, which signifies that the company had a 0.0302 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Caledonia Mining, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Caledonia Mining's Mean Deviation of 3.32, downside deviation of 5.75, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0243 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. Caledonia Mining has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.5, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Caledonia Mining will likely underperform. Caledonia Mining right now shows a risk of 4.99%. Please confirm Caledonia Mining value at risk, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and expected short fall , to decide if Caledonia Mining will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.08 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Caledonia Mining has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Caledonia Mining time series from 7th of November 2025 to 22nd of December 2025 and 22nd of December 2025 to 5th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Caledonia Mining price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Caledonia Mining price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.08 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.22 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 4.23 |
Caledonia Mining technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Caledonia Mining Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Caledonia Mining volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Caledonia Mining Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Caledonia Mining on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Caledonia Mining based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Caledonia Mining price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Caledonia Mining. By analyzing Caledonia Mining's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Caledonia Mining's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Caledonia Mining specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0488 | 0.0681 | 0.0783 | 0.0771 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.55 | 0.99 | 1.14 | 1.08 |
Caledonia Mining February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Caledonia help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Caledonia from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Caledonia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0243 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0727 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.32 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.35 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.75 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 4660.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.84 | |||
| Variance | 23.47 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0081 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0122 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.27) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0069 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0627 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.1 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.12) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 33.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 28.67 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.06) | |||
| Skewness | (0.85) | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.0 |
Caledonia Mining February 5, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Caledonia stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | ||
| Day Median Price | 27.60 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 27.60 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.46) |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Caledonia Mining. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in private. For more information on how to buy Caledonia Stock please use our How to buy in Caledonia Stock guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Caledonia Mining. Projected growth potential of Caledonia fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Caledonia Mining assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.417 | Dividend Share 0.56 | Earnings Share 2.56 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.529 |
Understanding Caledonia Mining requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Caledonia's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Caledonia Mining's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Caledonia Mining's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Caledonia Mining's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Caledonia Mining should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Caledonia Mining's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.