CNH Industrial (Austria) Market Value
| CNHI Stock | EUR 11.60 0.18 1.58% |
| Symbol | CNH |
CNH Industrial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CNH Industrial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CNH Industrial.
| 12/29/2023 |
| 11/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in CNH Industrial on December 29, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CNH Industrial NV or generate 0.0% return on investment in CNH Industrial over 330 days. CNH Industrial is related to or competes with RATH Aktiengesellscha, AT S, BAWAG Group, Semperit Aktiengesellscha, Telekom Austria, and Oesterr Post. More
CNH Industrial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CNH Industrial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CNH Industrial NV upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.11 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.99 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.34) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.89 |
CNH Industrial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CNH Industrial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CNH Industrial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CNH Industrial historical prices to predict the future CNH Industrial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1348 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2442 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.012 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1123 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3505 |
CNH Industrial NV Backtested Returns
CNH Industrial appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. CNH Industrial NV secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which signifies that the company had a 0.17% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for CNH Industrial NV, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of CNH Industrial's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1348, mean deviation of 1.61, and Semi Deviation of 1.85 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, CNH Industrial holds a performance score of 13. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.06, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. CNH Industrial returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, CNH Industrial is expected to follow. Please check CNH Industrial's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to make a quick decision on whether CNH Industrial's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.54 |
Good reverse predictability
CNH Industrial NV has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CNH Industrial time series from 29th of December 2023 to 11th of June 2024 and 11th of June 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CNH Industrial NV price movement. The serial correlation of -0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current CNH Industrial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.54 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.06 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.28 |
CNH Industrial NV lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is CNH Industrial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CNH Industrial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CNH Industrial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CNH Industrial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
CNH Industrial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CNH Industrial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CNH Industrial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CNH Industrial stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
CNH Industrial Lagged Returns
When evaluating CNH Industrial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CNH Industrial stock have on its future price. CNH Industrial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CNH Industrial autocorrelation shows the relationship between CNH Industrial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CNH Industrial NV.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in CNH Stock
When determining whether CNH Industrial NV offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of CNH Industrial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cnh Industrial Nv Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cnh Industrial Nv Stock:Check out CNH Industrial Correlation, CNH Industrial Volatility and CNH Industrial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CNH Industrial. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
CNH Industrial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.