Invesco Vertible Securities Fund Market Value

CNSDX Fund  USD 25.09  0.19  0.76%   
Invesco Convertible's market value is the price at which a share of Invesco Convertible trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invesco Vertible Securities investors about its performance. Invesco Convertible is trading at 25.09 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.76% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 24.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invesco Vertible Securities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invesco Convertible over a given investment horizon. Check out Invesco Convertible Correlation, Invesco Convertible Volatility and Invesco Convertible Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invesco Convertible.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Convertible's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Convertible is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Convertible's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invesco Convertible 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco Convertible's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco Convertible.
0.00
12/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invesco Convertible on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco Vertible Securities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco Convertible over 720 days. Invesco Convertible is related to or competes with Franklin Convertible, Franklin Convertible, Franklin Convertible, Allianzgi Convertible, Virtus Convertible, and Fidelity Convertible. The fund invests, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets in convertible securities, and in de... More

Invesco Convertible Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco Convertible's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco Vertible Securities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invesco Convertible Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco Convertible's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco Convertible's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco Convertible historical prices to predict the future Invesco Convertible's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Convertible's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.4224.9025.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.5826.4926.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.5024.9825.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.3824.1824.98
Details

Invesco Vertible Sec Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider INVESCO Mutual Fund to be very steady. Invesco Vertible Sec holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.26, which attests that the entity had a 0.26% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Invesco Vertible Sec, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Invesco Convertible's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2154, risk adjusted performance of 0.1768, and Downside Deviation of 0.4318 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.52, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Invesco Convertible's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Invesco Convertible is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.19  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Invesco Vertible Securities has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco Convertible time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco Vertible Sec price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Invesco Convertible price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.19
Spearman Rank Test0.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.65

Invesco Vertible Sec lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invesco Convertible mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco Convertible's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco Convertible returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco Convertible has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invesco Convertible regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco Convertible mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco Convertible mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco Convertible mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invesco Convertible Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invesco Convertible's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco Convertible mutual fund have on its future price. Invesco Convertible autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco Convertible autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco Convertible mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco Vertible Securities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in INVESCO Mutual Fund

Invesco Convertible financial ratios help investors to determine whether INVESCO Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INVESCO with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Convertible security.
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