COL Financial (Philippines) Market Value

COL Stock   1.71  0.01  0.58%   
COL Financial's market value is the price at which a share of COL Financial trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of COL Financial Group investors about its performance. COL Financial is trading at 1.71 as of the 27th of November 2024, a 0.58 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.71.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of COL Financial Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in COL Financial over a given investment horizon. Check out COL Financial Correlation, COL Financial Volatility and COL Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on COL Financial.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between COL Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if COL Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, COL Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

COL Financial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to COL Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of COL Financial.
0.00
08/05/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 26 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in COL Financial on August 5, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding COL Financial Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in COL Financial over 480 days. COL Financial is related to or competes with VistaREIT, Bright Kindle, Medco Holdings, Allhome Corp, Jollibee Foods, Altus Property, and Monde Nissin. More

COL Financial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure COL Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess COL Financial Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

COL Financial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for COL Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as COL Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use COL Financial historical prices to predict the future COL Financial's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.723.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.503.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.643.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.651.862.07
Details

COL Financial Group Backtested Returns

At this point, COL Financial is risky. COL Financial Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.001, which signifies that the company had a 0.001% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for COL Financial Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm COL Financial's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), mean deviation of 1.23, and Coefficient Of Variation of (6,419) to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0021%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.22, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning COL Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, COL Financial is likely to outperform the market. COL Financial Group now shows a risk of 2.04%. Please confirm COL Financial Group total risk alpha, daily balance of power, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and day typical price , to decide if COL Financial Group will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.10  

Insignificant predictability

COL Financial Group has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between COL Financial time series from 5th of August 2023 to 1st of April 2024 and 1st of April 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of COL Financial Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current COL Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.1
Spearman Rank Test0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

COL Financial Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is COL Financial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting COL Financial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of COL Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that COL Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

COL Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If COL Financial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if COL Financial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in COL Financial stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

COL Financial Lagged Returns

When evaluating COL Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of COL Financial stock have on its future price. COL Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, COL Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between COL Financial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in COL Financial Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in COL Stock

COL Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether COL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in COL with respect to the benefits of owning COL Financial security.