ContextVision (Norway) Market Value

CONTX Stock  NOK 5.16  0.12  2.27%   
ContextVision's market value is the price at which a share of ContextVision trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ContextVision AB investors about its performance. ContextVision is selling at 5.16 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 2.27 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 5.28.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ContextVision AB and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ContextVision over a given investment horizon. Check out ContextVision Correlation, ContextVision Volatility and ContextVision Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ContextVision.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ContextVision's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ContextVision is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ContextVision's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ContextVision 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ContextVision's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ContextVision.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ContextVision on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ContextVision AB or generate 0.0% return on investment in ContextVision over 720 days. ContextVision is related to or competes with Carasent ASA, Kitron ASA, Arcticzymes Technologies, Crayon Group, and Strongpoint ASA. ContextVision AB , a medical technology software company, provides image analysis and artificial intelligence software s... More

ContextVision Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ContextVision's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ContextVision AB upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ContextVision Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ContextVision's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ContextVision's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ContextVision historical prices to predict the future ContextVision's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ContextVision's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.655.167.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.884.396.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.985.498.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.615.045.47
Details

ContextVision AB Backtested Returns

ContextVision AB secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0201, which signifies that the company had a -0.0201% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. ContextVision AB exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm ContextVision's Standard Deviation of 2.56, mean deviation of 1.88, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.4, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ContextVision are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ContextVision is likely to outperform the market. At this point, ContextVision AB has a negative expected return of -0.0504%. Please make sure to confirm ContextVision's jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to decide if ContextVision AB performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.61  

Good predictability

ContextVision AB has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ContextVision time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ContextVision AB price movement. The serial correlation of 0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current ContextVision price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.61
Spearman Rank Test0.75
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.19

ContextVision AB lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ContextVision stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ContextVision's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ContextVision returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ContextVision has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ContextVision regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ContextVision stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ContextVision stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ContextVision stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ContextVision Lagged Returns

When evaluating ContextVision's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ContextVision stock have on its future price. ContextVision autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ContextVision autocorrelation shows the relationship between ContextVision stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ContextVision AB.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in ContextVision Stock

ContextVision financial ratios help investors to determine whether ContextVision Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ContextVision with respect to the benefits of owning ContextVision security.