Crayon Group (Norway) Market Value

CRAYN Stock  NOK 126.50  2.10  1.69%   
Crayon Group's market value is the price at which a share of Crayon Group trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Crayon Group Holding investors about its performance. Crayon Group is selling at 126.50 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 1.69% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 124.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Crayon Group Holding and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Crayon Group over a given investment horizon. Check out Crayon Group Correlation, Crayon Group Volatility and Crayon Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Crayon Group.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Crayon Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Crayon Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Crayon Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Crayon Group 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Crayon Group's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Crayon Group.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Crayon Group on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Crayon Group Holding or generate 0.0% return on investment in Crayon Group over 30 days. Crayon Group is related to or competes with Zaptec AS, Nordic Semiconductor, Scatec Solar, and Kitron ASA. Crayon Group Holding ASA, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an IT advisory company in software and digital tra... More

Crayon Group Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Crayon Group's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Crayon Group Holding upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Crayon Group Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Crayon Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Crayon Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Crayon Group historical prices to predict the future Crayon Group's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
122.94126.50130.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.53103.09139.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
126.53130.10133.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
108.35117.31126.27
Details

Crayon Group Holding Backtested Returns

As of now, Crayon Stock is very steady. Crayon Group Holding secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0286, which signifies that the company had a 0.0286% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Crayon Group Holding, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Crayon Group's risk adjusted performance of 0.0172, and Mean Deviation of 2.3 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.1%. Crayon Group has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.66, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Crayon Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Crayon Group is expected to be smaller as well. Crayon Group Holding right now shows a risk of 3.56%. Please confirm Crayon Group Holding coefficient of variation, semi variance, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if Crayon Group Holding will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.84  

Very good predictability

Crayon Group Holding has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Crayon Group time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Crayon Group Holding price movement. The serial correlation of 0.84 indicates that around 84.0% of current Crayon Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.84
Spearman Rank Test0.65
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance18.26

Crayon Group Holding lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Crayon Group stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Crayon Group's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Crayon Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Crayon Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Crayon Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Crayon Group stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Crayon Group stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Crayon Group stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Crayon Group Lagged Returns

When evaluating Crayon Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Crayon Group stock have on its future price. Crayon Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Crayon Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between Crayon Group stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Crayon Group Holding.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Crayon Stock

Crayon Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crayon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crayon with respect to the benefits of owning Crayon Group security.