Churchill Resources Stock Market Value
| CRICF Stock | 0.20 0.02 11.11% |
| Symbol | Churchill |
Churchill Resources 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Churchill Resources' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Churchill Resources.
| 01/01/2025 |
| 12/27/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Churchill Resources on January 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Churchill Resources or generate 0.0% return on investment in Churchill Resources over 360 days. Churchill Resources is related to or competes with Salazar Resources, Lithium South, Pelangio Exploration, Jindalee Resources, Canadian Premium, European Metals, and European Metals. More
Churchill Resources Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Churchill Resources' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Churchill Resources upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 14.3 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.084 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 53.08 | |||
| Value At Risk | (10.00) | |||
| Potential Upside | 20.0 |
Churchill Resources Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Churchill Resources' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Churchill Resources' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Churchill Resources historical prices to predict the future Churchill Resources' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0748 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.8807 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0528 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.25) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Churchill Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Churchill Resources Backtested Returns
Churchill Resources appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Churchill Resources secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0935, which signifies that the company had a 0.0935 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Churchill Resources' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.84% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Churchill Resources' Downside Deviation of 14.3, mean deviation of 4.97, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0748 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Churchill Resources holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.66, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Churchill Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Churchill Resources is likely to outperform the market. Please check Churchill Resources' expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Churchill Resources' price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.56 |
Good reverse predictability
Churchill Resources has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Churchill Resources time series from 1st of January 2025 to 30th of June 2025 and 30th of June 2025 to 27th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Churchill Resources price movement. The serial correlation of -0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current Churchill Resources price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.56 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.54 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Churchill Resources lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Churchill Resources pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Churchill Resources' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Churchill Resources returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Churchill Resources has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Churchill Resources regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Churchill Resources pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Churchill Resources pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Churchill Resources pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Churchill Resources Lagged Returns
When evaluating Churchill Resources' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Churchill Resources pink sheet have on its future price. Churchill Resources autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Churchill Resources autocorrelation shows the relationship between Churchill Resources pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Churchill Resources.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in Churchill Pink Sheet
Churchill Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Churchill Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Churchill with respect to the benefits of owning Churchill Resources security.