Capital World Bond Fund Market Value

CWBCX Fund  USD 15.62  0.02  0.13%   
Capital World's market value is the price at which a share of Capital World trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Capital World Bond investors about its performance. Capital World is trading at 15.62 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 0.13 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 15.64.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Capital World Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Capital World over a given investment horizon. Check out Capital World Correlation, Capital World Volatility and Capital World Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Capital World.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital World's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital World is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital World's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Capital World 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Capital World's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Capital World.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Capital World on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Capital World Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Capital World over 30 days. Capital World is related to or competes with Income Fund, New World, American Mutual, American Mutual, American Funds, American Funds, and Income Fund. The fund will invest at least 80 percent of its assets in bonds and other debt securities, which may be represented by d... More

Capital World Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Capital World's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Capital World Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Capital World Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Capital World's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Capital World's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Capital World historical prices to predict the future Capital World's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capital World's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.3015.6215.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.8615.1817.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.2215.5415.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.5415.6815.81
Details

Capital World Bond Backtested Returns

Capital World Bond secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.21, which signifies that the fund had a -0.21% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Capital World Bond exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Capital World's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.14), mean deviation of 0.2559, and Standard Deviation of 0.3315 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0675, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Capital World are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Capital World is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.50  

Modest predictability

Capital World Bond has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Capital World time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Capital World Bond price movement. The serial correlation of 0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Capital World price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.5
Spearman Rank Test0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Capital World Bond lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Capital World mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Capital World's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Capital World returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Capital World has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Capital World regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Capital World mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Capital World mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Capital World mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Capital World Lagged Returns

When evaluating Capital World's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Capital World mutual fund have on its future price. Capital World autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Capital World autocorrelation shows the relationship between Capital World mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Capital World Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Capital Mutual Fund

Capital World financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capital Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capital with respect to the benefits of owning Capital World security.
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