Chartwell Small Cap Fund Market Value

CWSIX Fund  USD 22.86  0.36  1.60%   
Chartwell Small's market value is the price at which a share of Chartwell Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Chartwell Small Cap investors about its performance. Chartwell Small is trading at 22.86 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 1.60 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 22.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Chartwell Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Chartwell Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Chartwell Small Correlation, Chartwell Small Volatility and Chartwell Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Chartwell Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Chartwell Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chartwell Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chartwell Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Chartwell Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chartwell Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chartwell Small.
0.00
12/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Chartwell Small on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chartwell Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chartwell Small over 720 days. Chartwell Small is related to or competes with Lebenthal Lisanti, Hodges Small, Oberweis Small, and Aegis Value. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in common stocks of small capitalization U.S More

Chartwell Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chartwell Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chartwell Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Chartwell Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chartwell Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chartwell Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chartwell Small historical prices to predict the future Chartwell Small's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.5922.8624.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.2022.4723.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.8422.1123.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.8621.4022.93
Details

Chartwell Small Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Chartwell Mutual Fund to be very steady. Chartwell Small Cap secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which signifies that the fund had a 0.12% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Chartwell Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Chartwell Small's mean deviation of 0.8795, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0994 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.43, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Chartwell Small will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.22  

Weak reverse predictability

Chartwell Small Cap has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chartwell Small time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chartwell Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of -0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Chartwell Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.22
Spearman Rank Test-0.28
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.91

Chartwell Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Chartwell Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chartwell Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chartwell Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chartwell Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Chartwell Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chartwell Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chartwell Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chartwell Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Chartwell Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Chartwell Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chartwell Small mutual fund have on its future price. Chartwell Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chartwell Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chartwell Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chartwell Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Chartwell Mutual Fund

Chartwell Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chartwell Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chartwell with respect to the benefits of owning Chartwell Small security.
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