Dan Hotels (Israel) Market Value

DANH Stock  ILS 2,230  31.00  1.37%   
Dan Hotels' market value is the price at which a share of Dan Hotels trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dan Hotels investors about its performance. Dan Hotels is trading at 2230.00 as of the 23rd of November 2024, a 1.37 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 2261.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dan Hotels and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dan Hotels over a given investment horizon. Check out Dan Hotels Correlation, Dan Hotels Volatility and Dan Hotels Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dan Hotels.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dan Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dan Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dan Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dan Hotels 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dan Hotels' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dan Hotels.
0.00
05/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dan Hotels on May 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dan Hotels or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dan Hotels over 180 days. Dan Hotels is related to or competes with Harel Insurance, Victory Supermarket, Automatic Bank, First International, Rimon Consulting, Rapac Communication, and Amanet Management. Dan Hotels Ltd owns and operates a chain of hotels in Israel More

Dan Hotels Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dan Hotels' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dan Hotels upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dan Hotels Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dan Hotels' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dan Hotels' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dan Hotels historical prices to predict the future Dan Hotels' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,2292,2302,231
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,0732,0742,453
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,2412,2422,243
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,2112,2402,270
Details

Dan Hotels Backtested Returns

Dan Hotels secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which denotes the company had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Dan Hotels exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Dan Hotels' Standard Deviation of 1.02, mean deviation of 0.6425, and Variance of 1.04 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0895, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Dan Hotels' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dan Hotels is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Dan Hotels has a negative expected return of -0.14%. Please make sure to confirm Dan Hotels' treynor ratio, potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if Dan Hotels performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.67  

Very good reverse predictability

Dan Hotels has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dan Hotels time series from 27th of May 2024 to 25th of August 2024 and 25th of August 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dan Hotels price movement. The serial correlation of -0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Dan Hotels price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.67
Spearman Rank Test-0.62
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance6333.96

Dan Hotels lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dan Hotels stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dan Hotels' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dan Hotels returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dan Hotels has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dan Hotels regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dan Hotels stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dan Hotels stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dan Hotels stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dan Hotels Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dan Hotels' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dan Hotels stock have on its future price. Dan Hotels autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dan Hotels autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dan Hotels stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dan Hotels.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Dan Stock

Dan Hotels financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dan with respect to the benefits of owning Dan Hotels security.