Dunham Real Estate Fund Market Value

DAREX Fund  USD 14.14  0.10  0.70%   
Dunham Real's market value is the price at which a share of Dunham Real trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dunham Real Estate investors about its performance. Dunham Real is trading at 14.14 as of the 1st of February 2025; that is 0.7% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 14.24.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dunham Real Estate and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dunham Real over a given investment horizon. Check out Dunham Real Correlation, Dunham Real Volatility and Dunham Real Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dunham Real.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dunham Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dunham Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dunham Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dunham Real 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dunham Real's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dunham Real.
0.00
01/02/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
02/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dunham Real on January 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dunham Real Estate or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dunham Real over 30 days. Dunham Real is related to or competes with Invesco Global, Baillie Gifford, Vanguard Health, and Hartford Healthcare. The funds sub-adviser seeks to achieve its investment objectives by investing primarily in income-producing equity secur... More

Dunham Real Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dunham Real's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dunham Real Estate upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dunham Real Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dunham Real's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dunham Real's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dunham Real historical prices to predict the future Dunham Real's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dunham Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.1114.1415.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.2014.2315.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.8113.8514.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.7314.0614.39
Details

Dunham Real Estate Backtested Returns

Dunham Real Estate secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0376, which denotes the fund had a -0.0376 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Dunham Real Estate exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Dunham Real's Variance of 1.08, mean deviation of 0.7793, and Standard Deviation of 1.04 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.35, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Dunham Real's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dunham Real is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.28  

Poor predictability

Dunham Real Estate has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dunham Real time series from 2nd of January 2025 to 17th of January 2025 and 17th of January 2025 to 1st of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dunham Real Estate price movement. The serial correlation of 0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Dunham Real price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.28
Spearman Rank Test-0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Dunham Real Estate lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dunham Real mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dunham Real's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dunham Real returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dunham Real has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dunham Real regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dunham Real mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dunham Real mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dunham Real mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dunham Real Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dunham Real's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dunham Real mutual fund have on its future price. Dunham Real autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dunham Real autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dunham Real mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dunham Real Estate.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Dunham Mutual Fund

Dunham Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dunham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dunham with respect to the benefits of owning Dunham Real security.
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