Dreyfusthe Boston Pany Fund Market Value

DBMCX Fund  USD 23.24  0.09  0.39%   
Dreyfus/the Boston's market value is the price at which a share of Dreyfus/the Boston trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dreyfusthe Boston Pany investors about its performance. Dreyfus/the Boston is trading at 23.24 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 0.39 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 23.15.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dreyfusthe Boston Pany and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dreyfus/the Boston over a given investment horizon. Check out Dreyfus/the Boston Correlation, Dreyfus/the Boston Volatility and Dreyfus/the Boston Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dreyfus/the Boston.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dreyfus/the Boston's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dreyfus/the Boston is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dreyfus/the Boston's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dreyfus/the Boston 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dreyfus/the Boston's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dreyfus/the Boston.
0.00
12/07/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dreyfus/the Boston on December 7, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dreyfusthe Boston Pany or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dreyfus/the Boston over 360 days. Dreyfus/the Boston is related to or competes with Growth Portfolio, Blackrock Mid, Mid Cap, Focused Dynamic, and Virtus Kar. To pursue its goal, the fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment ... More

Dreyfus/the Boston Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dreyfus/the Boston's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dreyfusthe Boston Pany upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dreyfus/the Boston Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dreyfus/the Boston's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dreyfus/the Boston's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dreyfus/the Boston historical prices to predict the future Dreyfus/the Boston's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dreyfus/the Boston's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.1623.2424.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.9224.4825.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.4123.4924.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.5422.7223.90
Details

Dreyfusthe Boston Pany Backtested Returns

Dreyfus/the Boston appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Dreyfusthe Boston Pany secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.27, which denotes the fund had a 0.27% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Dreyfusthe Boston Pany, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize Dreyfus/the Boston's Mean Deviation of 0.8371, downside deviation of 1.28, and Semi Deviation of 0.973 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.2, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Dreyfus/the Boston will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.11  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Dreyfusthe Boston Pany has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dreyfus/the Boston time series from 7th of December 2023 to 4th of June 2024 and 4th of June 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dreyfusthe Boston Pany price movement. The serial correlation of -0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Dreyfus/the Boston price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.11
Spearman Rank Test0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.8

Dreyfusthe Boston Pany lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dreyfus/the Boston mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dreyfus/the Boston's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dreyfus/the Boston returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dreyfus/the Boston has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dreyfus/the Boston regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dreyfus/the Boston mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dreyfus/the Boston mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dreyfus/the Boston mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dreyfus/the Boston Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dreyfus/the Boston's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dreyfus/the Boston mutual fund have on its future price. Dreyfus/the Boston autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dreyfus/the Boston autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dreyfus/the Boston mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dreyfusthe Boston Pany.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Dreyfus/the Mutual Fund

Dreyfus/the Boston financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dreyfus/the Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dreyfus/the with respect to the benefits of owning Dreyfus/the Boston security.
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