Dreyfus Technology Growth Fund Market Value
| DGVRX Fund | USD 79.88 0.79 1.00% |
| Symbol | Dreyfus |
Dreyfus Technology 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dreyfus Technology's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dreyfus Technology.
| 11/02/2024 |
| 12/02/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Dreyfus Technology on November 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dreyfus Technology Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dreyfus Technology over 30 days. Dreyfus Technology is related to or competes with Pace Small/medium, Smallcap Growth, Small Company, Champlain Mid, Qs Moderate, Rational Defensive, and Goldman Sachs. To pursue its goal, the fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment ... More
Dreyfus Technology Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dreyfus Technology's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dreyfus Technology Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0271 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.98 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.49) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.88 |
Dreyfus Technology Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dreyfus Technology's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dreyfus Technology's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dreyfus Technology historical prices to predict the future Dreyfus Technology's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1086 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.033 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0231 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1603 |
Dreyfus Technology Growth Backtested Returns
Dreyfus Technology appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Dreyfus Technology Growth secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.19, which denotes the fund had a 0.19% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Dreyfus Technology Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize Dreyfus Technology's Semi Deviation of 1.22, mean deviation of 0.889, and Downside Deviation of 1.47 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.01, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Dreyfus Technology returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Dreyfus Technology is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | 0.82 |
Very good predictability
Dreyfus Technology Growth has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dreyfus Technology time series from 2nd of November 2024 to 17th of November 2024 and 17th of November 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dreyfus Technology Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current Dreyfus Technology price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.82 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.85 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.42 |
Dreyfus Technology Growth lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Dreyfus Technology mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dreyfus Technology's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dreyfus Technology returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dreyfus Technology has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Dreyfus Technology regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dreyfus Technology mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dreyfus Technology mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dreyfus Technology mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Dreyfus Technology Lagged Returns
When evaluating Dreyfus Technology's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dreyfus Technology mutual fund have on its future price. Dreyfus Technology autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dreyfus Technology autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dreyfus Technology mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dreyfus Technology Growth.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Dreyfus Mutual Fund
Dreyfus Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dreyfus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dreyfus with respect to the benefits of owning Dreyfus Technology security.
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