Delek (Israel) Market Value

DLEKG Stock  ILS 48,860  2,000  4.27%   
Delek's market value is the price at which a share of Delek trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Delek Group investors about its performance. Delek is selling for under 48860.00 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 4.27% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 47990.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Delek Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Delek over a given investment horizon. Check out Delek Correlation, Delek Volatility and Delek Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Delek.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Delek's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Delek is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Delek's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Delek 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Delek's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Delek.
0.00
08/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Delek on August 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Delek Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Delek over 90 days. Delek is related to or competes with Fattal 1998, El Al, Bank Leumi, Teva Pharmaceutical, and Bezeq Israeli. Delek Group Ltd., an energy company, explores for and produces natural gas in Israel and internationally More

Delek Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Delek's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Delek Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Delek Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Delek's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Delek's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Delek historical prices to predict the future Delek's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48,85848,86048,862
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45,67045,67253,746
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48,05848,06048,062
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
43,93046,16948,408
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Delek. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Delek's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Delek's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Delek Group.

Delek Group Backtested Returns

Delek appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Delek Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which denotes the company had a 0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Delek Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Delek's Coefficient Of Variation of 1471.87, mean deviation of 1.59, and Downside Deviation of 1.96 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Delek holds a performance score of 13. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.12, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Delek's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Delek is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Delek's jensen alpha, potential upside, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Delek's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.01  

Virtually no predictability

Delek Group has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Delek time series from 28th of August 2024 to 12th of October 2024 and 12th of October 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Delek Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Delek price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.01
Spearman Rank Test-0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.4 M

Delek Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Delek stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Delek's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Delek returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Delek has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Delek regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Delek stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Delek stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Delek stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Delek Lagged Returns

When evaluating Delek's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Delek stock have on its future price. Delek autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Delek autocorrelation shows the relationship between Delek stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Delek Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Delek Stock Analysis

When running Delek's price analysis, check to measure Delek's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Delek is operating at the current time. Most of Delek's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Delek's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Delek's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Delek to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.