DM WENCESLAO (Philippines) Market Value

DMW Stock   5.30  0.03  0.56%   
DM WENCESLAO's market value is the price at which a share of DM WENCESLAO trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of DM WENCESLAO ASSOCIATES investors about its performance. DM WENCESLAO is trading at 5.30 as of the 31st of January 2025, a 0.56 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 5.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of DM WENCESLAO ASSOCIATES and determine expected loss or profit from investing in DM WENCESLAO over a given investment horizon. Check out DM WENCESLAO Correlation, DM WENCESLAO Volatility and DM WENCESLAO Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on DM WENCESLAO.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between DM WENCESLAO's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DM WENCESLAO is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DM WENCESLAO's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

DM WENCESLAO 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to DM WENCESLAO's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of DM WENCESLAO.
0.00
11/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
01/31/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in DM WENCESLAO on November 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding DM WENCESLAO ASSOCIATES or generate 0.0% return on investment in DM WENCESLAO over 90 days. DM WENCESLAO is related to or competes with Atlas Consolidated, East West, Rizal Commercial, Metro Retail, First Abacus, Jollibee Foods, and Robinsons Retail. More

DM WENCESLAO Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure DM WENCESLAO's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess DM WENCESLAO ASSOCIATES upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

DM WENCESLAO Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for DM WENCESLAO's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as DM WENCESLAO's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use DM WENCESLAO historical prices to predict the future DM WENCESLAO's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.525.308.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.674.457.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.595.378.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.085.325.56
Details

DM WENCESLAO ASSOCIATES Backtested Returns

DM WENCESLAO ASSOCIATES retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0178, which denotes the company had a -0.0178 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. DM WENCESLAO exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm DM WENCESLAO's Information Ratio of (0.05), market risk adjusted performance of 0.1627, and Standard Deviation of 2.78 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.39, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning DM WENCESLAO are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, DM WENCESLAO is likely to outperform the market. At this point, DM WENCESLAO ASSOCIATES has a negative expected return of -0.0494%. Please make sure to confirm DM WENCESLAO's maximum drawdown, day median price, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and kurtosis , to decide if DM WENCESLAO ASSOCIATES performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.07  

Virtually no predictability

DM WENCESLAO ASSOCIATES has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between DM WENCESLAO time series from 2nd of November 2024 to 17th of December 2024 and 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of DM WENCESLAO ASSOCIATES price movement. The serial correlation of 0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current DM WENCESLAO price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.07
Spearman Rank Test0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

DM WENCESLAO ASSOCIATES lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is DM WENCESLAO stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting DM WENCESLAO's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of DM WENCESLAO returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that DM WENCESLAO has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

DM WENCESLAO regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If DM WENCESLAO stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if DM WENCESLAO stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in DM WENCESLAO stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

DM WENCESLAO Lagged Returns

When evaluating DM WENCESLAO's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of DM WENCESLAO stock have on its future price. DM WENCESLAO autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, DM WENCESLAO autocorrelation shows the relationship between DM WENCESLAO stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in DM WENCESLAO ASSOCIATES.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in DMW Stock

DM WENCESLAO financial ratios help investors to determine whether DMW Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DMW with respect to the benefits of owning DM WENCESLAO security.