Davis New York Fund Market Value

DNVYX Fund  USD 28.67  0.16  0.55%   
Davis New's market value is the price at which a share of Davis New trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Davis New York investors about its performance. Davis New is trading at 28.67 as of the 1st of February 2025; that is 0.55% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 28.83.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Davis New York and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Davis New over a given investment horizon. Check out Davis New Correlation, Davis New Volatility and Davis New Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Davis New.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Davis New's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Davis New is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Davis New's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Davis New 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Davis New's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Davis New.
0.00
08/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
02/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Davis New on August 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Davis New York or generate 0.0% return on investment in Davis New over 180 days. Davis New is related to or competes with Transamerica High, Barings Us, Siit High, and Lord Abbett. Davis Selected Advisers, L.P. , the funds investment adviser, uses the Davis Investment Discipline to invest the funds p... More

Davis New Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Davis New's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Davis New York upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Davis New Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Davis New's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Davis New's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Davis New historical prices to predict the future Davis New's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Davis New's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.0528.6730.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.1728.7930.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.4128.0329.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.3027.6128.92
Details

Davis New York Backtested Returns

Davis New York secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0315, which denotes the fund had a -0.0315 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Davis New York exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Davis New's Standard Deviation of 1.57, variance of 2.46, and Mean Deviation of 0.8094 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.5, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Davis New's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Davis New is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.66  

Very good reverse predictability

Davis New York has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Davis New time series from 5th of August 2024 to 3rd of November 2024 and 3rd of November 2024 to 1st of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Davis New York price movement. The serial correlation of -0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Davis New price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.66
Spearman Rank Test-0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.45

Davis New York lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Davis New mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Davis New's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Davis New returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Davis New has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Davis New regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Davis New mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Davis New mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Davis New mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Davis New Lagged Returns

When evaluating Davis New's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Davis New mutual fund have on its future price. Davis New autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Davis New autocorrelation shows the relationship between Davis New mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Davis New York.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Davis Mutual Fund

Davis New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Davis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Davis with respect to the benefits of owning Davis New security.
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