Delaware Small Cap Fund Market Value

DVZRX Fund  USD 85.41  0.59  0.69%   
Delaware Small's market value is the price at which a share of Delaware Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Delaware Small Cap investors about its performance. Delaware Small is trading at 85.41 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.69% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 86.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Delaware Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Delaware Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Delaware Small Correlation, Delaware Small Volatility and Delaware Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Delaware Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Delaware Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Delaware Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Delaware Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Delaware Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Delaware Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Delaware Small.
0.00
12/08/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Delaware Small on December 8, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Delaware Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Delaware Small over 720 days. Delaware Small is related to or competes with Ppm High, Msift High, Siit High, Pimco High, Blackrock High, Pace High, and Pace High. Under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of the funds net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for investmen... More

Delaware Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Delaware Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Delaware Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Delaware Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Delaware Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Delaware Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Delaware Small historical prices to predict the future Delaware Small's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
84.1485.4186.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.8789.8291.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
83.5684.8386.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
76.2081.8087.40
Details

Delaware Small Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Delaware Mutual Fund to be very steady. Delaware Small Cap secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which denotes the fund had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Delaware Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Delaware Small's Coefficient Of Variation of 801.75, downside deviation of 0.9528, and Mean Deviation of 0.8671 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0397, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Delaware Small's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Delaware Small is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.29  

Weak reverse predictability

Delaware Small Cap has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Delaware Small time series from 8th of December 2022 to 3rd of December 2023 and 3rd of December 2023 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Delaware Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of -0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Delaware Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.29
Spearman Rank Test-0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance19.5

Delaware Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Delaware Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Delaware Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Delaware Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Delaware Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Delaware Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Delaware Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Delaware Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Delaware Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Delaware Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Delaware Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Delaware Small mutual fund have on its future price. Delaware Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Delaware Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Delaware Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Delaware Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Delaware Mutual Fund

Delaware Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Delaware Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Delaware with respect to the benefits of owning Delaware Small security.
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