Expat Croatia (Germany) Market Value

ECDC Etf  EUR 1.01  0.01  1.00%   
Expat Croatia's market value is the price at which a share of Expat Croatia trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Expat Croatia Crobex investors about its performance. Expat Croatia is trading at 1.01 as of the 3rd of December 2024. This is a 1.00 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 1.01.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Expat Croatia Crobex and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Expat Croatia over a given investment horizon. Check out Expat Croatia Correlation, Expat Croatia Volatility and Expat Croatia Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Expat Croatia.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Expat Croatia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Expat Croatia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Expat Croatia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Expat Croatia 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Expat Croatia's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Expat Croatia.
0.00
11/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Expat Croatia on November 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Expat Croatia Crobex or generate 0.0% return on investment in Expat Croatia over 30 days. More

Expat Croatia Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Expat Croatia's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Expat Croatia Crobex upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Expat Croatia Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Expat Croatia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Expat Croatia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Expat Croatia historical prices to predict the future Expat Croatia's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Expat Croatia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.012.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.922.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.022.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.950.981.02
Details

Expat Croatia Crobex Backtested Returns

At this point, Expat Croatia is very risky. Expat Croatia Crobex secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0904, which denotes the etf had a 0.0904% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Expat Croatia Crobex, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Expat Croatia's Coefficient Of Variation of 1150.19, downside deviation of 2.22, and Mean Deviation of 1.17 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.55, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Expat Croatia's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Expat Croatia is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.82  

Very good predictability

Expat Croatia Crobex has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Expat Croatia time series from 3rd of November 2024 to 18th of November 2024 and 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Expat Croatia Crobex price movement. The serial correlation of 0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current Expat Croatia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.82
Spearman Rank Test0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Expat Croatia Crobex lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Expat Croatia etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Expat Croatia's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Expat Croatia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Expat Croatia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Expat Croatia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Expat Croatia etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Expat Croatia etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Expat Croatia etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Expat Croatia Lagged Returns

When evaluating Expat Croatia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Expat Croatia etf have on its future price. Expat Croatia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Expat Croatia autocorrelation shows the relationship between Expat Croatia etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Expat Croatia Crobex.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Expat Etf

Expat Croatia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Expat Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Expat with respect to the benefits of owning Expat Croatia security.