Edri El (Israel) Market Value

EDRL Stock  ILS 17.80  1.40  7.29%   
Edri El's market value is the price at which a share of Edri El trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Edri El investors about its performance. Edri El is trading at 17.80 as of the 11th of December 2024, a 7.29 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 19.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Edri El and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Edri El over a given investment horizon. Check out Edri El Correlation, Edri El Volatility and Edri El Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Edri El.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Edri El's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Edri El is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Edri El's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Edri El 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Edri El's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Edri El.
0.00
11/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Edri El on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Edri El or generate 0.0% return on investment in Edri El over 30 days. Edri El is related to or competes with Itay Financial, Batm Advanced, Suny Cellular, Scope Metals, Israel Discount, RSL Electronics, and ICL Israel. Edri-El Israel Assets Ltd. initiates, develops, constructs, leases, manages, and maintains commercial investment propert... More

Edri El Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Edri El's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Edri El upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Edri El Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Edri El's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Edri El's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Edri El historical prices to predict the future Edri El's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.8619.2023.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.8417.1821.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.6820.0324.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.4820.3921.30
Details

Edri El Backtested Returns

Edri El secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0173, which denotes the company had a -0.0173% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Edri El exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Edri El's Mean Deviation of 2.87, variance of 25.33, and Standard Deviation of 5.03 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.26, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Edri El's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Edri El is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Edri El has a negative expected return of -0.0749%. Please make sure to confirm Edri El's total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and potential upside , to decide if Edri El performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

Edri El has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Edri El time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Edri El price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Edri El price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.58

Edri El lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Edri El stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Edri El's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Edri El returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Edri El has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Edri El regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Edri El stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Edri El stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Edri El stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Edri El Lagged Returns

When evaluating Edri El's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Edri El stock have on its future price. Edri El autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Edri El autocorrelation shows the relationship between Edri El stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Edri El.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Edri Stock

Edri El financial ratios help investors to determine whether Edri Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Edri with respect to the benefits of owning Edri El security.