Ellington Financial Stock Market Value

EFC Stock  USD 12.40  0.11  0.90%   
Ellington Financial's market value is the price at which a share of Ellington Financial trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ellington Financial investors about its performance. Ellington Financial is trading at 12.40 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 0.90% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 12.29.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ellington Financial and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ellington Financial over a given investment horizon. Check out Ellington Financial Correlation, Ellington Financial Volatility and Ellington Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ellington Financial.
For information on how to trade Ellington Stock refer to our How to Trade Ellington Stock guide.
Symbol

Ellington Financial Price To Book Ratio

Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ellington Financial. If investors know Ellington will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ellington Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.908
Dividend Share
1.66
Earnings Share
1.29
Revenue Per Share
3.539
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.19
The market value of Ellington Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ellington that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ellington Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ellington Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ellington Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ellington Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ellington Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ellington Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ellington Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ellington Financial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ellington Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ellington Financial.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ellington Financial on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ellington Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ellington Financial over 30 days. Ellington Financial is related to or competes with Ellington Residential, Orchid Island, ARMOUR Residential, Dynex Capital, Ares Commercial, Cherry Hill, and Two Harbors. Ellington Financial Inc., through its subsidiary, Ellington Financial Operating Partnership LLC, acquires and manages mo... More

Ellington Financial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ellington Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ellington Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ellington Financial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ellington Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ellington Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ellington Financial historical prices to predict the future Ellington Financial's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5412.4013.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.1613.4714.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.6212.4813.34
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.2014.5016.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ellington Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ellington Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ellington Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ellington Financial.

Ellington Financial Backtested Returns

Ellington Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0536, which denotes the company had a -0.0536% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Ellington Financial exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Ellington Financial's Mean Deviation of 0.6325, variance of 0.7377, and Standard Deviation of 0.8589 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.36, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ellington Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ellington Financial is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Ellington Financial has a negative expected return of -0.0456%. Please make sure to confirm Ellington Financial's potential upside, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and kurtosis , to decide if Ellington Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.22  

Weak predictability

Ellington Financial has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ellington Financial time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ellington Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Ellington Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.22
Spearman Rank Test0.31
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Ellington Financial lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ellington Financial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ellington Financial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ellington Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ellington Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ellington Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ellington Financial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ellington Financial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ellington Financial stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ellington Financial Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ellington Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ellington Financial stock have on its future price. Ellington Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ellington Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ellington Financial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ellington Financial.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Ellington Financial offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ellington Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ellington Financial Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ellington Financial Stock:
Check out Ellington Financial Correlation, Ellington Financial Volatility and Ellington Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ellington Financial.
For information on how to trade Ellington Stock refer to our How to Trade Ellington Stock guide.
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Ellington Financial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Ellington Financial technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Ellington Financial trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...