Elektro Redes (Brazil) Market Value

EKTR4 Preferred Stock  BRL 45.45  0.44  0.98%   
Elektro Redes' market value is the price at which a share of Elektro Redes trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Elektro Redes SA investors about its performance. Elektro Redes is selling for under 45.45 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 0.98% up since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's lowest day price was 45.43.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Elektro Redes SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Elektro Redes over a given investment horizon. Check out Elektro Redes Correlation, Elektro Redes Volatility and Elektro Redes Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Elektro Redes.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Elektro Redes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Elektro Redes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Elektro Redes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Elektro Redes 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Elektro Redes' preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Elektro Redes.
0.00
02/04/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 9 months and 23 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Elektro Redes on February 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Elektro Redes SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Elektro Redes over 660 days. Elektro Redes is related to or competes with CTEEP Companhia, BB Seguridade, Transmissora Aliana, and Itasa Investimentos. Elektro Redes S.A. engages in the distribution of electricity in Brazil More

Elektro Redes Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Elektro Redes' preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Elektro Redes SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Elektro Redes Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Elektro Redes' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Elektro Redes' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Elektro Redes historical prices to predict the future Elektro Redes' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.4245.4548.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.8937.9250.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
42.9445.9749.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
44.8945.3045.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Elektro Redes. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Elektro Redes' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Elektro Redes' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Elektro Redes SA.

Elektro Redes SA Backtested Returns

Currently, Elektro Redes SA is very steady. Elektro Redes SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0601, which denotes the company had a 0.0601% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Elektro Redes SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Elektro Redes' Coefficient Of Variation of 1860.1, mean deviation of 1.65, and Downside Deviation of 3.98 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. Elektro Redes has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.23, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Elektro Redes' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Elektro Redes is expected to be smaller as well. Elektro Redes SA right now shows a risk of 3.03%. Please confirm Elektro Redes SA total risk alpha, value at risk, and the relationship between the standard deviation and treynor ratio , to decide if Elektro Redes SA will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.14  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Elektro Redes SA has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Elektro Redes time series from 4th of February 2023 to 31st of December 2023 and 31st of December 2023 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Elektro Redes SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current Elektro Redes price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.14
Spearman Rank Test0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance21.14

Elektro Redes SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Elektro Redes preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Elektro Redes' preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Elektro Redes returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Elektro Redes has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Elektro Redes regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Elektro Redes preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Elektro Redes preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Elektro Redes preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Elektro Redes Lagged Returns

When evaluating Elektro Redes' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Elektro Redes preferred stock have on its future price. Elektro Redes autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Elektro Redes autocorrelation shows the relationship between Elektro Redes preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Elektro Redes SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Elektro Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Elektro Redes' price analysis, check to measure Elektro Redes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Elektro Redes is operating at the current time. Most of Elektro Redes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Elektro Redes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Elektro Redes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Elektro Redes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.