Eldav L (Israel) Market Value

ELDAV Stock  ILS 266.30  0.30  0.11%   
Eldav L's market value is the price at which a share of Eldav L trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Eldav L investors about its performance. Eldav L is selling for under 266.30 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.11 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 266.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Eldav L and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Eldav L over a given investment horizon. Check out Eldav L Correlation, Eldav L Volatility and Eldav L Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Eldav L.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Eldav L's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eldav L is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eldav L's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Eldav L 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Eldav L's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Eldav L.
0.00
08/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 25 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Eldav L on August 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Eldav L or generate 0.0% return on investment in Eldav L over 480 days. Eldav L is related to or competes with Bank Hapoalim, Israel Discount, Mizrahi Tefahot, Bezeq Israeli, and Elbit Systems. Eldav Investments Ltd is a private equity firm specializing in acquisition of mid to large sized companies More

Eldav L Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Eldav L's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Eldav L upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Eldav L Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Eldav L's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Eldav L's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Eldav L historical prices to predict the future Eldav L's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eldav L's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
262.74266.30269.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
244.10247.66292.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
257.72261.28264.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
266.30266.30266.30
Details

Eldav L Backtested Returns

Eldav L appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Eldav L secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0983, which denotes the company had a 0.0983% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Eldav L, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Eldav L's Downside Deviation of 3.58, mean deviation of 1.77, and Semi Deviation of 2.0 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Eldav L holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.3, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Eldav L will likely underperform. Please check Eldav L's maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Eldav L's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.82  

Very good predictability

Eldav L has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Eldav L time series from 2nd of August 2023 to 29th of March 2024 and 29th of March 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Eldav L price movement. The serial correlation of 0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current Eldav L price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.82
Spearman Rank Test0.8
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance476.61

Eldav L lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Eldav L stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Eldav L's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Eldav L returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Eldav L has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Eldav L regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Eldav L stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Eldav L stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Eldav L stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Eldav L Lagged Returns

When evaluating Eldav L's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Eldav L stock have on its future price. Eldav L autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Eldav L autocorrelation shows the relationship between Eldav L stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Eldav L.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Eldav Stock Analysis

When running Eldav L's price analysis, check to measure Eldav L's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eldav L is operating at the current time. Most of Eldav L's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eldav L's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eldav L's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eldav L to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.