Mfs Emerging Markets Fund Market Value
| EMLBX Fund | USD 5.36 0.01 0.19% |
| Symbol | Mfs |
Mfs Emerging 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mfs Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mfs Emerging.
| 11/30/2023 |
| 11/24/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Mfs Emerging on November 30, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mfs Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mfs Emerging over 360 days. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in debt instruments of issuers that are tied economicall... More
Mfs Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mfs Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mfs Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.41) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.85 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.71) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.7168 |
Mfs Emerging Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mfs Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mfs Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mfs Emerging historical prices to predict the future Mfs Emerging's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (5.48) |
Mfs Emerging Markets Backtested Returns
Mfs Emerging Markets has Sharpe Ratio of -0.14, which conveys that the entity had a -0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Mfs Emerging exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Mfs Emerging's Mean Deviation of 0.3374, risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Standard Deviation of 0.4206 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0098, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Mfs Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mfs Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.36 |
Poor reverse predictability
Mfs Emerging Markets has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mfs Emerging time series from 30th of November 2023 to 28th of May 2024 and 28th of May 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mfs Emerging Markets price movement. The serial correlation of -0.36 indicates that just about 36.0% of current Mfs Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.36 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.3 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Mfs Emerging Markets lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Mfs Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mfs Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mfs Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mfs Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Mfs Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mfs Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mfs Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mfs Emerging mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Mfs Emerging Lagged Returns
When evaluating Mfs Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mfs Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Mfs Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mfs Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mfs Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mfs Emerging Markets.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund
Mfs Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Emerging security.
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