ENEX Energy (Philippines) Market Value

ENEX Stock   4.25  0.15  3.66%   
ENEX Energy's market value is the price at which a share of ENEX Energy trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ENEX Energy Corp investors about its performance. ENEX Energy is selling for under 4.25 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 3.66% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 4.14.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ENEX Energy Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ENEX Energy over a given investment horizon. Check out ENEX Energy Correlation, ENEX Energy Volatility and ENEX Energy Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ENEX Energy.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ENEX Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ENEX Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ENEX Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ENEX Energy 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ENEX Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ENEX Energy.
0.00
06/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ENEX Energy on June 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ENEX Energy Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in ENEX Energy over 180 days. ENEX Energy is related to or competes with Basic Energy. More

ENEX Energy Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ENEX Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ENEX Energy Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ENEX Energy Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ENEX Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ENEX Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ENEX Energy historical prices to predict the future ENEX Energy's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.804.256.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.273.726.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.794.236.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.924.144.36
Details

ENEX Energy Corp Backtested Returns

ENEX Energy Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.095, which denotes the company had a -0.095% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. ENEX Energy Corp exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm ENEX Energy's standard deviation of 2.41, and Mean Deviation of 1.53 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.38, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, ENEX Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ENEX Energy is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, ENEX Energy Corp has a negative expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to confirm ENEX Energy's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if ENEX Energy Corp performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.43  

Modest reverse predictability

ENEX Energy Corp has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ENEX Energy time series from 3rd of June 2024 to 1st of September 2024 and 1st of September 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ENEX Energy Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current ENEX Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.43
Spearman Rank Test-0.54
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.13

ENEX Energy Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ENEX Energy stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ENEX Energy's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ENEX Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ENEX Energy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ENEX Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ENEX Energy stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ENEX Energy stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ENEX Energy stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ENEX Energy Lagged Returns

When evaluating ENEX Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ENEX Energy stock have on its future price. ENEX Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ENEX Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between ENEX Energy stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ENEX Energy Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for ENEX Stock Analysis

When running ENEX Energy's price analysis, check to measure ENEX Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ENEX Energy is operating at the current time. Most of ENEX Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ENEX Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ENEX Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ENEX Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.