Oil Gas Ultrasector Fund Market Value

ENPIX Fund  USD 47.27  0.07  0.15%   
Oil Gas' market value is the price at which a share of Oil Gas trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Oil Gas Ultrasector investors about its performance. Oil Gas is trading at 47.27 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.15 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 47.34.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Oil Gas Ultrasector and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Oil Gas over a given investment horizon. Check out Oil Gas Correlation, Oil Gas Volatility and Oil Gas Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Oil Gas.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Oil Gas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oil Gas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oil Gas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Oil Gas 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Oil Gas' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Oil Gas.
0.00
05/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Oil Gas on May 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Oil Gas Ultrasector or generate 0.0% return on investment in Oil Gas over 180 days. Oil Gas is related to or competes with Precious Metals, Real Estate, Basic Materials, Utilities Ultrasector, and Financials Ultrasector. The fund invests in financial instruments that the fund advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns ... More

Oil Gas Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Oil Gas' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Oil Gas Ultrasector upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Oil Gas Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Oil Gas' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Oil Gas' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Oil Gas historical prices to predict the future Oil Gas' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.4447.2749.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.0042.8352.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
44.1245.9547.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.3645.7750.18
Details

Oil Gas Ultrasector Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Oil Mutual Fund to be very steady. Oil Gas Ultrasector maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0662, which implies the entity had a 0.0662% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Oil Gas Ultrasector, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Oil Gas' Coefficient Of Variation of 1675.77, risk adjusted performance of 0.0514, and Semi Deviation of 1.94 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. The fund holds a Beta of 1.01, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Oil Gas returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Oil Gas is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.07  

Virtually no predictability

Oil Gas Ultrasector has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Oil Gas time series from 31st of May 2024 to 29th of August 2024 and 29th of August 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Oil Gas Ultrasector price movement. The serial correlation of 0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current Oil Gas price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.07
Spearman Rank Test-0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.57

Oil Gas Ultrasector lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Oil Gas mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Oil Gas' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Oil Gas returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Oil Gas has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Oil Gas regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Oil Gas mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Oil Gas mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Oil Gas mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Oil Gas Lagged Returns

When evaluating Oil Gas' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Oil Gas mutual fund have on its future price. Oil Gas autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Oil Gas autocorrelation shows the relationship between Oil Gas mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Oil Gas Ultrasector.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Oil Mutual Fund

Oil Gas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oil Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oil with respect to the benefits of owning Oil Gas security.
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