Siemens Energy (Germany) Market Value

ENR Stock  EUR 47.25  1.18  2.44%   
Siemens Energy's market value is the price at which a share of Siemens Energy trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Siemens Energy AG investors about its performance. Siemens Energy is trading at 47.25 as of the 24th of November 2024. This is a 2.44 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 45.02.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Siemens Energy AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Siemens Energy over a given investment horizon. Check out Siemens Energy Correlation, Siemens Energy Volatility and Siemens Energy Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Siemens Energy.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Siemens Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Siemens Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Siemens Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Siemens Energy 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Siemens Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Siemens Energy.
0.00
05/04/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 6 months and 24 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Siemens Energy on May 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Siemens Energy AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in Siemens Energy over 570 days. Siemens Energy is related to or competes with MARKET VECTR, SPORTING, FAST RETAIL, Carsales, Columbia Sportswear, Transportadora, and Air Transport. Siemens Energy AG operates as an energy technology company worldwide More

Siemens Energy Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Siemens Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Siemens Energy AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Siemens Energy Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Siemens Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Siemens Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Siemens Energy historical prices to predict the future Siemens Energy's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.7847.2549.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.5352.9255.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
45.3147.7750.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
44.8046.8748.95
Details

Siemens Energy AG Backtested Returns

Siemens Energy appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Siemens Energy AG owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.39, which indicates the firm had a 0.39% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Siemens Energy's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.97% is justified by implied risk. Please review Siemens Energy's Coefficient Of Variation of 246.01, risk adjusted performance of 0.3186, and Semi Deviation of 1.36 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Siemens Energy holds a performance score of 30. The entity has a beta of 0.0564, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Siemens Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Siemens Energy is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Siemens Energy's total risk alpha, value at risk, and the relationship between the standard deviation and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Siemens Energy's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.61  

Very good reverse predictability

Siemens Energy AG has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Siemens Energy time series from 4th of May 2023 to 13th of February 2024 and 13th of February 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Siemens Energy AG price movement. The serial correlation of -0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current Siemens Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.61
Spearman Rank Test-0.69
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance68.26

Siemens Energy AG lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Siemens Energy stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Siemens Energy's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Siemens Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Siemens Energy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Siemens Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Siemens Energy stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Siemens Energy stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Siemens Energy stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Siemens Energy Lagged Returns

When evaluating Siemens Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Siemens Energy stock have on its future price. Siemens Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Siemens Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Siemens Energy stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Siemens Energy AG.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Siemens Stock

Siemens Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Siemens Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Siemens with respect to the benefits of owning Siemens Energy security.