Embark Small Cap Fund Market Value

ESCQX Fund   11.68  0.17  1.48%   
Embark Small's market value is the price at which a share of Embark Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Embark Small Cap investors about its performance. Embark Small is trading at 11.68 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 1.48 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.51.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Embark Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Embark Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Embark Small Correlation, Embark Small Volatility and Embark Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Embark Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Embark Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Embark Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Embark Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Embark Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Embark Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Embark Small.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Embark Small on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Embark Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Embark Small over 30 days. Embark Small is related to or competes with Harbor Convertible, Harbor Diversified, Harbor International, Harbor International, Harbor Mid, Harbor Mid, and Harbor Large. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus borrowings for investment purpo... More

Embark Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Embark Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Embark Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Embark Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Embark Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Embark Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Embark Small historical prices to predict the future Embark Small's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5811.6812.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4111.5112.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2711.3712.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.2011.5011.80
Details

Embark Small Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Embark Mutual Fund to be very steady. Embark Small Cap secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0983, which denotes the fund had a 0.0983% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Embark Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Embark Small's Mean Deviation of 0.825, downside deviation of 1.05, and Semi Deviation of 0.8214 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.28, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Embark Small will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.53  

Modest predictability

Embark Small Cap has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Embark Small time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Embark Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Embark Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.53
Spearman Rank Test0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Embark Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Embark Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Embark Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Embark Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Embark Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Embark Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Embark Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Embark Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Embark Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Embark Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Embark Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Embark Small mutual fund have on its future price. Embark Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Embark Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Embark Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Embark Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Embark Mutual Fund

Embark Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Embark Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Embark with respect to the benefits of owning Embark Small security.
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