Invesco European Small Fund Market Value

ESMAX Fund  USD 15.19  0.06  0.39%   
Invesco European's market value is the price at which a share of Invesco European trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invesco European Small investors about its performance. Invesco European is trading at 15.19 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.39% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 15.25.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invesco European Small and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invesco European over a given investment horizon. Check out Invesco European Correlation, Invesco European Volatility and Invesco European Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invesco European.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco European's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco European is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco European's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invesco European 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco European's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco European.
0.00
12/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invesco European on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco European Small or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco European over 720 days. Invesco European is related to or competes with Invesco Municipal, Invesco Municipal, Invesco Municipal, Oppenheimer Rising, Invesco High, Oppenheimer Strategic, and Oppenheimer International. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of small-capitalization European issuers, and in de... More

Invesco European Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco European's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco European Small upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invesco European Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco European's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco European's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco European historical prices to predict the future Invesco European's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.4915.1915.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.6514.3516.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.2014.9015.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.1415.2215.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco European. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco European's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco European's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Invesco European Small.

Invesco European Small Backtested Returns

Invesco European Small holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.17, which attests that the entity had a -0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Invesco European Small exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Invesco European's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.33, risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Standard Deviation of 0.7219 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0902, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Invesco European are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Invesco European is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.03  

Very weak reverse predictability

Invesco European Small has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco European time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco European Small price movement. The serial correlation of -0.03 indicates that only 3.0% of current Invesco European price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.03
Spearman Rank Test-0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.42

Invesco European Small lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invesco European mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco European's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco European returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco European has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invesco European regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco European mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco European mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco European mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invesco European Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invesco European's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco European mutual fund have on its future price. Invesco European autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco European autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco European mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco European Small.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco European financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco European security.
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