Franklin California High Fund Market Value

FCAMX Fund  USD 10.00  0.02  0.20%   
Franklin California's market value is the price at which a share of Franklin California trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Franklin California High investors about its performance. Franklin California is trading at 10.00 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.20% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.98.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Franklin California High and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Franklin California over a given investment horizon. Check out Franklin California Correlation, Franklin California Volatility and Franklin California Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Franklin California.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin California's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin California is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin California's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Franklin California 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Franklin California's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Franklin California.
0.00
11/06/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year and 26 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Franklin California on November 6, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Franklin California High or generate 0.0% return on investment in Franklin California over 390 days. Franklin California is related to or competes with Franklin California, Franklin California, Oppenheimer Rochester, Franklin California, and Franklin High. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in municipal securities whose interest is free from regular feder... More

Franklin California Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Franklin California's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Franklin California High upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Franklin California Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Franklin California's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Franklin California's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Franklin California historical prices to predict the future Franklin California's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7410.0010.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.729.9810.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.749.9910.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.919.9610.02
Details

Franklin California High Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Franklin Mutual Fund to be very steady. Franklin California High secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0698, which denotes the fund had a 0.0698% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Franklin California High, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Franklin California's Downside Deviation of 0.3731, mean deviation of 0.1609, and Semi Deviation of 0.1965 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0179%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0334, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Franklin California's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Franklin California is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.89  

Very good predictability

Franklin California High has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Franklin California time series from 6th of November 2023 to 19th of May 2024 and 19th of May 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Franklin California High price movement. The serial correlation of 0.89 indicates that approximately 89.0% of current Franklin California price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.89
Spearman Rank Test0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Franklin California High lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Franklin California mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Franklin California's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Franklin California returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Franklin California has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Franklin California regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Franklin California mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Franklin California mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Franklin California mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Franklin California Lagged Returns

When evaluating Franklin California's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Franklin California mutual fund have on its future price. Franklin California autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Franklin California autocorrelation shows the relationship between Franklin California mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Franklin California High.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin California financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin California security.
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