First Trust Natural Etf Market Value
| FCG Etf | USD 26.57 0.02 0.08% |
| Symbol | First |
Understanding First Trust Natural requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects First's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what First Trust's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push First Trust's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, First Trust's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
First Trust 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Trust's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Trust.
| 11/18/2025 |
| 02/16/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Trust on November 18, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Trust Natural or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Trust over 90 days. First Trust is related to or competes with ProShares Ultra, Global X, Harbor ETF, JPMorgan Fundamental, Invesco Exchange, ProShares Ultra, and Bank of Montreal. The fund will normally invest at least 90 percent of its net assets in the common stocks, depositary receipts and MLP un... More
First Trust Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Trust's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Trust Natural upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0879 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.44) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.75 |
First Trust Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Trust's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Trust's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Trust historical prices to predict the future First Trust's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1104 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1834 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0823 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0836 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5858 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Trust February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1104 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5958 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 766.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Variance | 2.7 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0879 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1834 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0823 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0836 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5858 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.44) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.75 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.36) | |||
| Skewness | (0.16) | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.56) |
First Trust Natural Backtested Returns
At this point, First Trust is very steady. First Trust Natural secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which denotes the etf had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for First Trust Natural, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm First Trust's Downside Deviation of 1.73, coefficient of variation of 766.5, and Mean Deviation of 1.33 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.35, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.43 |
Modest reverse predictability
First Trust Natural has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Trust time series from 18th of November 2025 to 2nd of January 2026 and 2nd of January 2026 to 16th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Trust Natural price movement. The serial correlation of -0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current First Trust price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.43 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.4 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.47 |
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Check out First Trust Correlation, First Trust Volatility and First Trust Performance module to complement your research on First Trust. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
First Trust technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.