First Trust Natural Etf Performance

First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,248  in First Trust Natural on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  313.00  from holding First Trust Natural or generate 13.92% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Natural is generating 0.2248% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.4874% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 13% of etfs are less volatile than First, and above 96% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust is expected to generate 1.99 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.99 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk. Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Natural extending back to May 11, 2007. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 25.61, as last reported on the 31st of January, with the highest price reaching 25.72 and the lowest price hitting 25.08 during the day.

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust has a beta of 0.15. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Trust Natural will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Trust Natural has an alpha of 0.185, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Natural. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 24.20 25.69 27.18 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 23.70 25.19 26.68 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 24.44 25.93 27.42 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Lower Middle Band Upper 22.30 23.88 25.47 Details

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Natural, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust Natural can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust Natural. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Understanding First Trust Natural requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects First's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what First Trust's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push First Trust's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, First Trust's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.