Falling Dollar Profund Fund Market Value

FDPIX Fund  USD 13.49  0.06  0.44%   
Falling Us' market value is the price at which a share of Falling Us trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Falling Dollar Profund investors about its performance. Falling Us is trading at 13.49 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 0.44 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.55.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Falling Dollar Profund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Falling Us over a given investment horizon. Check out Falling Us Correlation, Falling Us Volatility and Falling Us Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Falling Us.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Falling Us' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Falling Us is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Falling Us' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Falling Us 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Falling Us' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Falling Us.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Falling Us on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Falling Dollar Profund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Falling Us over 30 days. Falling Us is related to or competes with Short Real, Short Real, Ultrashort Mid-cap, Ultrashort Mid, Technology Ultrasector, Technology Ultrasector, and Large-cap Growth. The fund invests in financial instruments that the fund advisors believes, in combination, should track the performance ... More

Falling Us Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Falling Us' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Falling Dollar Profund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Falling Us Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Falling Us' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Falling Us' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Falling Us historical prices to predict the future Falling Us' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.1113.4913.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.6813.0614.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.9713.3513.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.4513.5113.57
Details

Falling Dollar Profund Backtested Returns

Falling Dollar Profund secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.27, which denotes the fund had a -0.27% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Falling Dollar Profund exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Falling Us' Mean Deviation of 0.3094, variance of 0.1546, and Standard Deviation of 0.3931 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.11, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Falling Us are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Falling Us is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.56  

Modest predictability

Falling Dollar Profund has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Falling Us time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Falling Dollar Profund price movement. The serial correlation of 0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current Falling Us price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.56
Spearman Rank Test0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Falling Dollar Profund lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Falling Us mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Falling Us' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Falling Us returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Falling Us has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Falling Us regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Falling Us mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Falling Us mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Falling Us mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Falling Us Lagged Returns

When evaluating Falling Us' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Falling Us mutual fund have on its future price. Falling Us autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Falling Us autocorrelation shows the relationship between Falling Us mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Falling Dollar Profund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Falling Mutual Fund

Falling Us financial ratios help investors to determine whether Falling Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Falling with respect to the benefits of owning Falling Us security.
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