Fedex Stock Market Value
| FDX Stock | USD 362.54 9.11 2.58% |
| Symbol | FedEx |
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FedEx. Market participants price FedEx higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive FedEx assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | Dividend Share 5.73 | Earnings Share 18.06 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.139 |
Understanding FedEx requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects FedEx's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what FedEx's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push FedEx's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FedEx's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FedEx is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, FedEx's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
FedEx 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to FedEx's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of FedEx.
| 11/07/2025 |
| 02/05/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in FedEx on November 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding FedEx or generate 0.0% return on investment in FedEx over 90 days. FedEx is related to or competes with Canadian National, United Parcel, Cummins, United Rentals, Norfolk Southern, Canadian Pacific, and L3Harris Technologies. FedEx Corporation provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally More
FedEx Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure FedEx's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess FedEx upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.3299 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.76 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.59) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.52 |
FedEx Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for FedEx's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as FedEx's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use FedEx historical prices to predict the future FedEx's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2778 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5271 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4631 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.4765 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5833 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FedEx's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FedEx February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2778 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5933 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4649 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 270.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Variance | 2.55 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.3299 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5271 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4631 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.4765 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5833 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.76 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.59) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2161 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.48) | |||
| Skewness | 0.8404 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.55 |
FedEx Backtested Returns
FedEx appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. FedEx secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.34, which denotes the company had a 0.34 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By reviewing FedEx's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.56% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize FedEx's Downside Deviation of 1.11, mean deviation of 1.2, and Coefficient Of Variation of 270.04 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, FedEx holds a performance score of 27. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.0, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. FedEx returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, FedEx is expected to follow. Please check FedEx's maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether FedEx's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.78 |
Good predictability
FedEx has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between FedEx time series from 7th of November 2025 to 22nd of December 2025 and 22nd of December 2025 to 5th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of FedEx price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current FedEx price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.78 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.68 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 273.23 |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for FedEx Stock Analysis
When running FedEx's price analysis, check to measure FedEx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FedEx is operating at the current time. Most of FedEx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FedEx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FedEx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FedEx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.